StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Cameron Norrie

Matchstart: 2026-08-04 01:45 UTC

Slutresultat: Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0–2 Cameron Norrie

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

64 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma)

Prognos 21.07%4.75rättvist odds
EV +2.17%
Fördel +0.448%
Kelly +0.564%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.66%21.18%21.05%23.66%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.474.504.8525.00%22.35%22.22%20.62%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cameron Norrie (Borta)

Prognos 78.93%1.27rättvist odds
EV -2.12%
Fördel -1.71%
Kelly -8.84%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
76.34%78.82%78.95%80.34%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.151.201.201.2486.96%83.16%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma): 21.07%; Cameron Norrie (Borta): 78.93%. För Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.75. 4 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.85, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.17%.

Spelbolagsodds (64 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +2.17%E +0.448%K +0.564%G +0.012%1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-04 01:39
Pinnacle🎯4.77I 20.96%NM 20.37%EV +0.486%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-03 23:55
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 01:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 22:00
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-04 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 00:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:00
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:04
Grosvenor🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:00
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:05
Casumo🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:04
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:05
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:05
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:00
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:04
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:05
Virgin Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:04
Tipico (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.23%E -8.02%K -61.51%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 00:39
LowVig.ag🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 00:39
BetOnline.ag🎯4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 00:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 00:35
Marathon Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:39
Betr (AU)🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.15%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 01:25
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 01:44
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 00:48
ReBet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 00:39
Betsson🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 00:35
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:25
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:35
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 22:00
888sport (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:34
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 00:34
betfred_uk🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.86%E -5.81%K -38.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 01:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 22:00
NetBet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 00:24
1xBet🎯4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -6.04%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 01:40
SportsBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 15:34
Fliff🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 00:39
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 15:34
BetMGM🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 21:50
LeoVegas🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 00:40
Fanatics🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.36%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 01:44
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 15:34
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 21:50
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 21:50
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 00:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 00:39
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 01:44
DraftKings🎯4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -10.05%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.91%E -2.37%K -12.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 00:50
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.47%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 22:30
Neds🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 21:50
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 01:10
Dabble (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 01:10
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 00:03
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 14:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 19:00
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 22:20
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 22:29
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-08-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-08-04 01:35
Matchbook5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-08-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57%0.5%2026-08-04 01:35
Novig5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66%0.8%2026-08-04 01:25
ProphetX5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-08-04 01:40
Smarkets5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%2.2%2026-08-04 01:40