Langue:Français
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Cameron Norrie
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local)
Prévision 21.07%4.75cote équitable
EV +2.17%
Avantage +0.448%
Kelly +0.564%
Croissance +0.012%
avec la cote maximale 4.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.66%21.18%21.05%23.66%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.004.474.504.8525.00%22.35%22.22%20.62%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.93%1.27cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -8.84%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.24
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.34%78.82%78.95%80.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.151.201.201.2486.96%83.16%83.33%80.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local) : 21.07% ; Cameron Norrie (Visiteur) : 78.93%. Pour Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.75. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.85, soit une espérance positive de +2.17%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +2.17%E +0.448%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.37%EV +0.486%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.23%E -8.02%K -61.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.15%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.86%E -5.81%K -38.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -6.04%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.36%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -10.05%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.91%E -2.37%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.47%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 00:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |