Sprache:Deutsch
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Cameron Norrie
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Heim)
Prognose 21.07%4.75faire Quote
EV +2.17%
Vorteil +0.448%
Kelly +0.564%
Wachstum +0.012%
bei einer Höchstquote von 4.85
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
19.66%21.18%21.05%23.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.004.474.504.8525.00%22.35%22.22%20.62%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Auswärts)
Prognose 78.93%1.27faire Quote
EV -2.12%
Vorteil -1.71%
Kelly -8.84%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.24
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
76.34%78.82%78.95%80.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.151.201.201.2486.96%83.16%83.33%80.65%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Heim): 21.07%; Cameron Norrie (Auswärts): 78.93%. Für Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.75. 4 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.85 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.17%.
Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim ▼ | Auswärts | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +2.17%E +0.448%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.37%EV +0.486%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.23%E -8.02%K -61.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.15%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.86%E -5.81%K -38.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -6.04%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.36%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -10.05%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.91%E -2.37%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.47%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 00:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:29 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |