Lingua:Italiano
Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Cameron Norrie
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa)
Previsione 21.07%4.75quota equa
EV +2.17%
Vantaggio +0.448%
Kelly +0.564%
Crescita +0.012%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.66%21.18%21.05%23.66%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.474.504.8525.00%22.35%22.22%20.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Cameron Norrie (Trasferta)
Previsione 78.93%1.27quota equa
EV -2.12%
Vantaggio -1.71%
Kelly -8.84%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.24
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
76.34%78.82%78.95%80.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.151.201.201.2486.96%83.16%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa): 21.07%; Cameron Norrie (Trasferta): 78.93%. Per Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.75. 4 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.85, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.17%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.83%EV +2.17%E +0.448%K +0.564%G +0.012% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 80.17%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-04 01:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.77I 20.96%NM 20.37%EV +0.486%E +0.102%K +0.129%G +0.001% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-03 23:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.56%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV +0.064%E +0.014%K +0.017%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -0.989%E -0.210%K -0.267%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -9.23%E -8.02%K -61.51%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.64I 21.55%NM 20.68%EV -2.25%E -0.486%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.32%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -3.10%E -0.673%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -4.15%E -0.912%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.27%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-04 00:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 00:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -6.86%E -5.81%K -38.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -5.20%E -1.16%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.65%E -6.54%K -44.98%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-04 00:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.34%EV -6.04%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.66%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.10%EV -6.26%E -1.41%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.90%EV -6.07%E -5.10%K -31.94%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -7.31%E -1.66%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-04 00:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -8.36%E -1.92%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-03 15:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 15:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -8.78%E -2.03%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 00:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -9.42%E -2.19%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-04 01:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -10.05%E -2.35%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -2.91%E -2.37%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -10.47%E -2.46%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.49%E -3.71%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 22:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -13.63%E -3.32%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-03 21:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.12%E -1.71%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 00:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -3.70%E -3.03%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-03 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -15.74%E -3.93%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.28%E -4.40%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 22:29 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.57% | 0.5% | 2026-08-04 01:35 |
| Novig◎ | 5.13I 19.49%NM 19.34% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.66% | 0.8% | 2026-08-04 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 2.2% | 2026-08-04 01:40 |