Language:English
Kocaelispor v Samsunspor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kocaelispor (Local)
Prediction 38.71%2.58fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.503%
Kelly -0.828%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.55%38.83%38.70%41.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.352.5545.45%42.31%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Samsunspor (Visit)
Prediction 29.66%3.37fair odd
EV +3.82%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.19%29.64%29.54%31.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.153.153.5034.72%31.79%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.62%3.16fair odd
EV +2.78%
Edge +0.855%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.54%31.76%32.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.71%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kocaelispor (Local): 38.71%; Samsunspor (Visit): 29.66%; Draw: 31.62%. For Samsunspor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV +3.82%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.058% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.28%EV -1.81%E -0.548%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +2.78%E +0.855%K +1.23%G +0.034% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -1.67%E -0.658%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.11%E -0.639%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -6.08%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.41%EV -9.41%E -4.02%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:26 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.54%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.02%EV -5.93%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.65%EV -10.50%E -3.71%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -10.19%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.77%EV -5.44%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 16:26 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.33%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.04%EV -10.82%E -3.84%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -13.03%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -14.57%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |