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Kocaelispor v Samsunspor

2026-09-06 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kocaelispor (Local)

Prediction 35.63%2.81fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.27%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.00%35.67%35.65%36.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.602.7142.55%39.04%38.46%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Samsunspor (Visit)

Prediction 32.60%3.07fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.843%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.21%33.20%32.53%39.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.762.802.9942.55%36.20%35.71%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.77%3.15fair odd
EV +17.54%
Edge +4.74%
Kelly +6.49%
Growth +1.14%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.12%31.13%31.81%32.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.972.933.7037.04%33.67%34.13%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kocaelispor (Local): 35.63%; Samsunspor (Visit): 32.60%; Draw: 31.77%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.70, producing a positive expected value of +17.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -23.39%E -9.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +17.54%E +4.74%K +6.49%G +1.14%7.6%2026-08-30 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -23.39%E -9.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +17.54%E +4.74%K +6.49%G +1.14%7.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 19:05
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.74%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.40%EV -2.52%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.86%EV -3.43%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.58%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 19:15
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 00:39
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.51%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -3.50%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -5.97%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 19:50
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -5.22%E -1.96%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%EV -4.80%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.21%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.75%EV -7.00%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.63%E -4.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.69%E -3.50%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -10.42%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 18:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 19:50
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.97%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-30 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.78%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.41%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.82%EV -16.27%E -6.92%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.01%EV -16.87%E -6.61%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.17%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-30 19:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.20%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.29%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.51%5.0%2026-08-31 00:50
Arbitrage (186 combinations) +2.70%1xBet 2.71 (37.9%) / 1xBet 2.99 (34.3%) / Betsson 3.70 (27.8%)Show all 186 combinations
Kocaelispor (Local)Samsunspor (Visit)DrawMargin
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.8%)+2.70%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.8%)+2.70%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.8%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.6%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.7%)+2.34%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.8%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.7%)+2.34%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.2%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+2.26%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.2%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+2.26%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+1.97%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+1.97%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.4%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.91%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.4%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.91%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.6%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.86%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.6%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.86%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.4%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.83%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.4%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.83%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.5%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (35.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.5%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (35.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.47%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.47%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.7%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.43%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.43%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.88 (35.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.37%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.88 (35.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.37%
Marathon Bet🎯 2.61 (38.8%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.23%
Marathon Bet🎯 2.61 (38.8%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.23%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (34.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.19%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (34.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.19%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.0%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.6%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.15%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.0%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.15%
Coolbet🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Coolbet🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Codere (IT)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Codere (IT)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Betway🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Betway🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
888sport🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
888sport🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%

Showing 50 of 186 combinations