مدرسة الاحتمالاتodds.school
النموذج الافتراضيالمتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)
+ نموذج جديدجميع النماذج

Kocaelispor v Samsunspor

2026-09-06 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

نتيجة المباراة

26 شركة مراهنات (12 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)

Kocaelispor (المضيف)

التنبؤ 35.63%2.81السعر العادل
EV -3.44%
الأفضلية -1.27%
Kelly -2.01%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.71

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
35.00%35.67%35.65%36.68%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.562.602.7142.55%39.04%38.46%36.90%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

Samsunspor (الضيف)

التنبؤ 32.60%3.07السعر العادل
EV -2.52%
الأفضلية -0.843%
Kelly -1.27%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.99

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
32.21%33.20%32.53%39.55%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.352.762.802.9942.55%36.20%35.71%33.44%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

تعادل

التنبؤ 31.77%3.15السعر العادل
EV +17.54%
الأفضلية +4.74%
Kelly +6.49%
النمو +1.14%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.12%31.13%31.81%32.50%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى
توزيع الأسعار
2.702.972.933.7037.04%33.67%34.13%27.03%الأدنىالمتوسطالوسيطالأقصى

بالنسبة إلى سوق ⁨نتيجة المباراة⁩، يقدّر نموذج ⁨المتوسط بين الربيعين (القائمة المنتقاة)⁩ الاحتمالات الآتية: ⁨Kocaelispor (المضيف)⁩: ⁨35.63%⁩؛ ⁨Samsunspor (الضيف)⁩: ⁨32.60%⁩؛ ⁨تعادل⁩: ⁨31.77%⁩. بالنسبة إلى ⁨تعادل⁩، يعادل هذا التقدير سعرًا عشريًا عادلًا قدره ⁨3.15⁩. تعرض 3 شركات مراهنات أسعارًا أعلى من ذلك المستوى؛ وأفضل سعر متاح هو ⁨3.70⁩، ما ينتج قيمة متوقعة موجبة قدرها ⁨+17.54%⁩.

أسعار شركات المراهنات (26 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادل ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Betsson🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -23.39%E -9.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +17.54%E +4.74%K +6.49%G +1.14%7.6%2026-08-30 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -23.39%E -9.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +17.54%E +4.74%K +6.49%G +1.14%7.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 19:05
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.74%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.40%EV -2.52%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.86%EV -3.43%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.58%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 19:15
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 00:39
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.51%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -3.50%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -5.97%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 19:50
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -5.22%E -1.96%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%EV -4.80%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.21%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.75%EV -7.00%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.63%E -4.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.69%E -3.50%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -10.42%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 18:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 19:50
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.97%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-30 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.78%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.41%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.82%EV -16.27%E -6.92%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.01%EV -16.87%E -6.61%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.17%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-30 19:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (1)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.68%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-08-31 01:55
المراجحة (186 تركيبة) +2.70%1xBet 2.71 (37.9%) / 1xBet 2.99 (34.3%) / Betsson 3.70 (27.8%)عرض التركيبات كلها وعددها 186
Kocaelispor (المضيف)Samsunspor (الضيف)تعادلالهامش
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.8%)+2.70%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.8%)+2.70%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.8%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.6%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.7%)+2.34%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.8%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.7%)+2.34%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.2%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+2.26%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.2%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+2.26%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+1.97%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+1.97%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.4%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.91%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.4%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.91%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.6%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.86%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.6%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.86%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.4%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.83%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.4%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.83%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.5%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (35.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.5%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (35.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.47%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.47%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.7%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.43%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.43%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.88 (35.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.37%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.88 (35.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.37%
Marathon Bet🎯 2.61 (38.8%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.23%
Marathon Bet🎯 2.61 (38.8%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.23%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (34.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.19%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (34.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.19%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.0%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.6%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.15%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.0%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.15%
Coolbet🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Coolbet🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Codere (IT)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Codere (IT)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Betway🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Betway🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
888sport🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
888sport🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%

عرض 50 من أصل 186 تركيبة