Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kocaelispor v Samsunspor

2026-09-06 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Résultat du match

26 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kocaelispor (Local)

Prévision 35.63%2.81cote équitable
EV -3.44%
Avantage -1.27%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.00%35.67%35.65%36.68%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.602.7142.55%39.04%38.46%36.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Samsunspor (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.60%3.07cote équitable
EV -2.52%
Avantage -0.843%
Kelly -1.27%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.21%33.20%32.53%39.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.352.762.802.9942.55%36.20%35.71%33.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 31.77%3.15cote équitable
EV +17.54%
Avantage +4.74%
Kelly +6.49%
Croissance +1.14%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.12%31.13%31.81%32.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.702.972.933.7037.04%33.67%34.13%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kocaelispor (Local) : 35.63% ; Samsunspor (Visiteur) : 32.60% ; Match nul : 31.77%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 3.15. 3 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 3.70, pour une espérance positive de +17.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (26 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betsson🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -23.39%E -9.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +17.54%E +4.74%K +6.49%G +1.14%7.6%2026-08-30 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -23.39%E -9.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +17.54%E +4.74%K +6.49%G +1.14%7.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 19:05
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.74%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.40%EV -2.52%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.86%EV -3.43%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.58%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 19:15
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 00:39
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.51%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -3.50%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -5.97%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 19:50
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -5.22%E -1.96%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%EV -4.80%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.21%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.75%EV -7.00%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.63%E -4.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.69%E -3.50%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -10.42%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 18:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 19:50
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.97%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-30 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.78%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.41%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.82%EV -16.27%E -6.92%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.01%EV -16.87%E -6.61%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.17%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-30 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.68%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-08-31 01:55
Arbitrage (186 combinaisons) +2.70%1xBet 2.71 (37.9%) / 1xBet 2.99 (34.3%) / Betsson 3.70 (27.8%)Afficher les 186 combinaisons
Kocaelispor (Local)Samsunspor (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.8%)+2.70%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.8%)+2.70%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.8%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.6%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.7%)+2.34%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.8%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.7%)+2.34%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.2%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+2.26%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.2%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+2.26%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+1.97%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+1.97%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.4%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.91%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.4%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.91%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.6%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.86%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.6%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.86%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.4%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.83%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.4%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.83%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.5%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (35.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.5%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (35.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.47%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.47%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.7%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.43%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.43%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.88 (35.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.37%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.88 (35.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.37%
Marathon Bet🎯 2.61 (38.8%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.23%
Marathon Bet🎯 2.61 (38.8%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.23%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (34.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.19%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (34.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.19%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.0%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.6%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.15%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.0%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.15%
Coolbet🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Coolbet🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Codere (IT)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Codere (IT)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Betway🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Betway🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
888sport🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
888sport🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%

50 combinaisons affichées sur 186