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Kocaelispor v Samsunspor
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Kocaelispor (Хозяева)
Прогноз 38.71%2.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.28%
Преимущество -0.503%
Kelly -0.828%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.55
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.55%38.83%38.70%41.31%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.202.362.352.5545.45%42.31%42.55%39.22%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Samsunspor (Гости)
Прогноз 29.66%3.37справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.82%
Преимущество +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
Рост +0.058%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.19%29.64%29.54%31.74%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.883.153.153.5034.72%31.79%31.75%28.57%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 31.62%3.16справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.78%
Преимущество +0.855%
Kelly +1.23%
Рост +0.034%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.25
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.82%31.54%31.76%32.82%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.71%33.33%30.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Kocaelispor (Хозяева): 38.71%; Samsunspor (Гости): 29.66%; Ничья: 31.62%. Для исхода «Samsunspor (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.37. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 3.50, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +3.82%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV +3.82%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.058% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.28%EV -1.81%E -0.548%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +2.78%E +0.855%K +1.23%G +0.034% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -1.67%E -0.658%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.11%E -0.639%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -6.08%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.41%EV -9.41%E -4.02%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:26 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.54%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.02%EV -5.93%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.65%EV -10.50%E -3.71%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -10.19%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.77%EV -5.44%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 16:26 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.33%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.04%EV -10.82%E -3.84%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -13.03%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -14.57%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |