Idioma:Español
Kocaelispor v Samsunspor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kocaelispor (Local)
Predicción 38.71%2.58momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.503%
Kelly -0.828%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.55%38.83%38.70%41.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.362.352.5545.45%42.31%42.55%39.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Samsunspor (Visitante)
Predicción 29.66%3.37momio equitativo
EV +3.82%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
Crecimiento +0.058%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.19%29.64%29.54%31.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.153.153.5034.72%31.79%31.75%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 31.62%3.16momio equitativo
EV +2.78%
Ventaja +0.855%
Kelly +1.23%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.82%31.54%31.76%32.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.71%33.33%30.77%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kocaelispor (Local): 38.71%; Samsunspor (Visitante): 29.66%; Empate: 31.62%. Para Samsunspor (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.37. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.82%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV +3.82%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.058% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 08:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.28%EV -1.81%E -0.548%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +2.78%E +0.855%K +1.23%G +0.034% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -1.67%E -0.658%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.11%E -0.639%K -0.918%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -6.08%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.41%EV -9.41%E -4.02%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:26 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:26 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.54%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.02%EV -5.93%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.65%EV -10.50%E -3.71%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-06 16:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -10.19%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 30.77%EV -5.44%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 16:26 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-06 16:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 37.33%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.04%EV -10.82%E -3.84%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -13.03%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -14.57%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 39.02% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02% | 0.1% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56% | 0.7% | 2026-09-06 16:51 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41% | 1.2% | 2026-09-06 16:55 |