Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Kocaelispor v Samsunspor

Inizio: 2026-09-06 17:00 UTC

Finale: Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Kocaelispor (Casa)

Previsione 38.71%2.58quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.503%
Kelly -0.828%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.55%38.83%38.70%41.31%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.362.352.5545.45%42.31%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Samsunspor (Trasferta)

Previsione 29.66%3.37quota equa
EV +3.82%
Vantaggio +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescita +0.058%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.19%29.64%29.54%31.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.153.153.5034.72%31.79%31.75%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 31.62%3.16quota equa
EV +2.78%
Vantaggio +0.855%
Kelly +1.23%
Crescita +0.034%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.82%31.54%31.76%32.82%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.71%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Kocaelispor (Casa): 38.71%; Samsunspor (Trasferta): 29.66%; Pareggio: 31.62%. Per Samsunspor (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.37. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.50, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.82%.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV +3.82%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.058%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 16:51
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.28%EV -1.81%E -0.548%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +2.78%E +0.855%K +1.23%G +0.034%3.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -1.67%E -0.658%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.11%E -0.639%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -6.08%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.41%EV -9.41%E -4.02%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 16:51
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:26
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:26
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:55
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 16:50
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:51
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.54%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.02%EV -5.93%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.65%EV -10.50%E -3.71%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:25
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -10.19%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.77%EV -5.44%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 16:51
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:51
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 16:51
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 16:26
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 16:25
Betsson🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 16:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.33%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.04%EV -10.82%E -3.84%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -13.03%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -14.57%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02%0.1%2026-09-06 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-09-06 16:55
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-09-06 16:51
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-09-06 16:55