StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Kocaelispor v Samsunspor

2026-09-06 17:00 UTC — Turkey Super League

Matchresultat

26 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Kocaelispor (Hemma)

Prognos 35.63%2.81rättvist odds
EV -3.44%
Fördel -1.27%
Kelly -2.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.71

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.00%35.67%35.65%36.68%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.352.562.602.7142.55%39.04%38.46%36.90%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Samsunspor (Borta)

Prognos 32.60%3.07rättvist odds
EV -2.52%
Fördel -0.843%
Kelly -1.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.99

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
32.21%33.20%32.53%39.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.352.762.802.9942.55%36.20%35.71%33.44%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 31.77%3.15rättvist odds
EV +17.54%
Fördel +4.74%
Kelly +6.49%
Tillväxt +1.14%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.12%31.13%31.81%32.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.702.972.933.7037.04%33.67%34.13%27.03%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Kocaelispor (Hemma): 35.63%; Samsunspor (Borta): 32.60%; Oavgjort: 31.77%. För Oavgjort motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.15. 3 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.70, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +17.54%.

Spelbolagsodds (26 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjort ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Betsson🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -23.39%E -9.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +17.54%E +4.74%K +6.49%G +1.14%7.6%2026-08-30 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.34%EV -6.29%E -2.39%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.55%EV -23.39%E -9.95%K -17.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV +17.54%E +4.74%K +6.49%G +1.14%7.6%2026-08-30 18:50
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.53%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.32%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV +0.064%E +0.020%K +0.030%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 19:05
SportsBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.16%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.44%EV -3.11%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 19:05
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.74%EV -3.44%E -1.27%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.40%EV -2.52%E -0.843%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.86%EV -3.43%E -1.13%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 21:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -5.58%E -2.10%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.45%E -1.88%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 20:10
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -9.14%E -3.58%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 19:15
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 00:39
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-31 00:39
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -10.92%E -4.37%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -11.98%E -4.44%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -4.70%E -1.57%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 19:05
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.51%E -1.68%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -3.50%E -1.18%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.21%EV -5.97%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 19:50
GTbets🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.48%EV -5.22%E -1.96%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.32%EV -4.80%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.21%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 00:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.75%EV -7.00%E -2.68%K -4.35%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.40%EV -6.11%E -2.12%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.85%EV -6.92%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 21:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-30 18:50
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.19%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.27%EV -10.35%E -3.76%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -7.88%E -2.72%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:50
DraftKings🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.09%E -2.49%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.47%E -3.32%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.04%EV -11.63%E -4.69%K -7.86%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -9.69%E -3.50%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -10.42%E -3.69%K -5.72%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 18:49
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -7.36%E -2.83%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -8.72%E -3.11%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.72%EV -12.70%E -5.18%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.02%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.26%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-30 19:50
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.97%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -15.24%E -5.86%K -9.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.83%EV -11.05%E -3.95%K -6.14%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-30 19:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.78%EV -14.48%E -6.03%K -10.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.41%EV -13.61%E -5.13%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.81%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%16.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 35.82%EV -16.27%E -6.92%K -12.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.01%EV -16.87%E -6.61%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.17%EV -14.23%E -5.27%K -8.37%G +0.000%18.8%2026-08-30 19:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (1)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi2.63I 38.02%NM 36.53%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.68%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.79%4.1%2026-08-31 01:55
Arbitrage (186 kombinationer) +2.70%1xBet 2.71 (37.9%) / 1xBet 2.99 (34.3%) / Betsson 3.70 (27.8%)Visa alla 186 kombinationer
Kocaelispor (Hemma)Samsunspor (Borta)OavgjortMarginal
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.8%)+2.70%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.8%)+2.70%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.8%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.6%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.7%)+2.34%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.8%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.7%)+2.34%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.2%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+2.26%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.2%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+2.26%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+1.97%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.3%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.6%)+1.97%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.4%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.91%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (38.0%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.4%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.91%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.6%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.86%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.6%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.86%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.4%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.83%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.4%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.1%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.83%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.2%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.5%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (35.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.5%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (35.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.5%)+1.62%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.6%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (34.0%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.53%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.47%
Fanatics🎯 2.65 (38.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.3%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.47%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.7%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.43%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.43%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.88 (35.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.37%
1xBet🎯 2.71 (37.4%)Marathon Bet🎯 2.88 (35.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.37%
Marathon Bet🎯 2.61 (38.8%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.23%
Marathon Bet🎯 2.61 (38.8%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)+1.23%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (34.9%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.19%
Pinnacle🎯 2.68 (37.8%)Fanatics🎯 2.90 (34.9%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.19%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
Betsson🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
NordicBet🎯 2.63 (38.5%)Pinnacle🎯 2.96 (34.2%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.18%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.0%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.6%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.15%
GTbets🎯 2.66 (38.0%)GTbets🎯 2.92 (34.6%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.15%
Coolbet🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Coolbet🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Unibet (UK)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Codere (IT)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Codere (IT)🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
DraftKings🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Betway🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
Betway🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
888sport🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%
888sport🎯 2.60 (38.9%)1xBet🎯 2.99 (33.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)+1.08%

Visar 50 av 186 kombinationer