Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kocaelispor v Samsunspor

Początek: 2026-09-06 17:00 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Kocaelispor 1–0 Samsunspor

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (19 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Kocaelispor (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 38.71%2.58kurs godziwy
EV -1.28%
Przewaga -0.503%
Kelly -0.828%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.55

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
36.55%38.83%38.70%41.31%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.202.362.352.5545.45%42.31%42.55%39.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Samsunspor (Goście)

Prognoza 29.66%3.37kurs godziwy
EV +3.82%
Przewaga +1.09%
Kelly +1.53%
Wzrost +0.058%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.19%29.64%29.54%31.74%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.883.153.153.5034.72%31.79%31.75%28.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 31.62%3.16kurs godziwy
EV +2.78%
Przewaga +0.855%
Kelly +1.23%
Wzrost +0.034%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.82%31.54%31.76%32.82%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.752.973.003.2536.36%33.71%33.33%30.77%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Kocaelispor (Gospodarze): 38.71%; Samsunspor (Goście): 29.66%; Remis: 31.62%. Dla wyniku Samsunspor (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.37. 3 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.82%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Coolbet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV +3.82%E +1.09%K +1.53%G +0.058%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 16:51
LowVig.ag🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.41%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.40%EV +0.856%E +0.252%K +0.357%G +0.003%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.19%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-06 16:51
1xBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 40.90%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.28%EV -1.81%E -0.548%K -0.785%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%EV +2.78%E +0.855%K +1.23%G +0.034%3.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 38.10%EV -1.67%E -0.658%K -1.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.32%EV -2.11%E -0.639%K -0.918%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -6.08%E -2.05%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 16:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.41%EV -9.41%E -4.02%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.50%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 16:51
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:26
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
TABtouch🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:26
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.31%EV -9.80%E -4.21%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -3.59%E -1.11%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -3.55%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:25
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.04%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.72%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 16:55
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.52%EV -8.25%E -3.48%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 16:50
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 16:51
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 16:50
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -5.08%E -1.59%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.23%EV -5.54%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Bovada🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.02%EV -5.93%E -2.44%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.65%EV -10.50%E -3.71%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 16:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -6.56%E -2.08%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:25
GTbets🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.65%EV -10.19%E -4.39%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 29.58%EV -7.75%E -2.49%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 30.77%EV -5.44%E -1.82%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 16:55
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.01%EV -1.28%E -0.503%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.44%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 16:51
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.44%EV -7.86%E -3.30%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 16:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -6.71%E -2.27%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:55
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.26%EV -3.22%E -1.29%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.69%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 16:51
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 16:51
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -12.90%E -5.73%K -10.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -8.04%E -2.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -8.29%E -2.86%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 16:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.74%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.39%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.88%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-06 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 16:26
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.11%EV -14.83%E -6.74%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.93%EV -9.53%E -3.12%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.96%EV -9.87%E -3.46%K -5.34%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 16:25
Betsson🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 16:55
NordicBet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 37.46%EV -4.38%E -1.77%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 30.53%EV -10.12%E -3.34%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.01%EV -8.61%E -2.98%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 16:55
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 16:51
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 16:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.01%E -3.67%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -1.97%E -0.634%K -0.936%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.33%EV -6.32%E -2.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.63%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.04%EV -10.82%E -3.84%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -10.96%E -4.77%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-06 16:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -9.03%E -3.84%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -12.49%E -4.23%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -11.45%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.57%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.74%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 16:55
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.55%EV -5.15%E -2.10%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -13.98%E -4.82%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.57%EV -13.03%E -4.74%K -7.45%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 16:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -7.09%E -2.95%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -14.57%E -5.06%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -5.13%E -1.71%K -2.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 16:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Kalshi◎2.56I 39.06%NM 39.02%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.02%0.1%2026-09-06 16:51
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-09-06 16:55
Matchbook◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.34%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.56%0.7%2026-09-06 16:51
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-09-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-09-06 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.17%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.41%1.2%2026-09-06 16:55