The School of Odds

Valencia v Real Betis

2026-08-16 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

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Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Valencia (Local)

Prediction 35.58%2.81fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.44%35.58%35.58%35.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.622.632.6840%38%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Real Betis (Visit)

Prediction 35.58%2.81fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.01%35.58%35.58%35.87%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.622.632.6839%38%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV -3.36%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.26%28.85%28.85%29.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.053.203.203.3533%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 13:29
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:30
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 05:29
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-02 22:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.