The School of OddsValencia v Real Betis
Head to Head
Option 1: Valencia (Local)
Odds
2.3542.55%Min
2.6138.31%Mean
2.6338.02%Median
2.7935.84%Max
Consensus probabilities
34.66%2.885Min
36.17%2.765Max
35.42%2.823Mean
35.49%2.817Median
35.46%2.820IQM
35.40%2.825Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.79 under the IQM model: 35.46%
EV -1.06%Edge -0.379%Kelly -0.592%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Real Betis (Visit)
Odds
2.3542.55%Min
2.6038.53%Mean
2.6338.02%Median
2.8035.71%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.67%2.970Min
36.83%2.715Max
35.62%2.807Mean
35.69%2.802Median
35.74%2.798IQM
35.62%2.807Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.80 under the IQM model: 35.74%
EV +0.069%Edge +0.025%Kelly +0.038%Growth +0.000%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
2.9533.90%Min
3.2131.12%Mean
3.2031.25%Median
3.4329.15%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.66%3.615Min
31.42%3.183Max
28.96%3.453Mean
28.82%3.470Median
28.80%3.472IQM
28.98%3.451Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.43 under the IQM model: 28.80%
EV -1.22%Edge -0.356%Kelly -0.503%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Valencia (Local) | Real Betis (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tipico (DE) | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.91%EV -4.25% E -1.57% K -2.50% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.67%EV +0.069% E +0.025% K +0.038% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.42%EV -13.60% E -4.53% K -6.80% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 21:04 |
| 1xBet | 2.79I 35.84% NM 35.27%EV -1.06% E -0.379% K -0.592% G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63% NM 36.04%EV -2.43% E -0.891% K -1.41% G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15% NM 28.69%EV -1.22% E -0.356% K -0.503% G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-05 08:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.48%EV -4.25% E -1.57% K -2.50% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.48%EV -3.51% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 29.03%EV -4.97% E -1.50% K -2.16% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.75I 36.36% NM 35.26%EV -2.48% E -0.901% K -1.42% G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17% NM 36.05%EV -3.86% E -1.44% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59% NM 28.69%EV -2.66% E -0.787% K -1.12% G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 08:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.44%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 29.13%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.62I 38.17% NM 36.09%EV -7.09% E -2.71% K -4.37% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 36.09%EV -6.36% E -2.43% K -3.93% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.81%EV -2.09% E -0.613% K -0.869% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 10:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.73%EV -6.02% E -2.27% K -3.65% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.42%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.85%EV -2.09% E -0.613% K -0.869% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.73%EV -6.02% E -2.27% K -3.65% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.42%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.85%EV -2.09% E -0.613% K -0.869% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.17%EV -7.80% E -3.00% K -4.87% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.17%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.66%EV -2.09% E -0.613% K -0.869% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-02 11:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.61%EV -6.73% E -2.56% K -4.13% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.02%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 28.38%EV -4.97% E -1.50% K -2.16% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.56%EV -7.80% E -3.00% K -4.87% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.56%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.89%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 22:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.39%EV -7.80% E -3.00% K -4.87% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.39%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 29.21%EV -9.29% E -2.95% K -4.32% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.55I 39.22% NM 35.75%EV -9.57% E -3.75% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 35.75%EV -8.87% E -3.48% K -5.72% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 28.49%EV -7.85% E -2.45% K -3.57% G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-03 14:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00% NM 35.71%EV -11.34% E -4.54% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 35.01%EV -8.87% E -3.48% K -5.72% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.27%EV -12.16% E -3.99% K -5.93% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.50I 40.00% NM 35.71%EV -11.34% E -4.54% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 35.01%EV -8.87% E -3.48% K -5.72% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 29.27%EV -12.16% E -3.99% K -5.93% G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.36%EV -7.80% E -3.00% K -4.87% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 36.78%EV -10.65% E -4.26% K -7.10% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.86%EV -4.97% E -1.50% K -2.16% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.21%EV -7.80% E -3.00% K -4.87% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 36.62%EV -10.65% E -4.26% K -7.10% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 28.17%EV -6.41% E -1.97% K -2.85% G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.50I 40.00% NM 35.11%EV -11.34% E -4.54% K -7.56% G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15% NM 36.12%EV -13.15% E -5.41% K -9.20% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 28.78%EV -12.16% E -3.99% K -5.93% G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-01 20:58 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.55I 39.22% NM 34.66%EV -9.57% E -3.75% K -6.17% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 36.83%EV -14.23% E -5.93% K -10.16% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 28.51%EV -10.73% E -3.46% K -5.11% G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-01 21:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.42I 41.32% NM 35.15%EV -14.18% E -5.86% K -9.99% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 36.20%EV -16.01% E -6.81% K -11.86% G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67% NM 28.64%EV -14.47% E -4.87% K -7.34% G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-07-03 15:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 35.76%EV -16.66% E -7.09% K -12.34% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 35.76%EV -16.01% E -6.81% K -11.86% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 28.48%EV -15.04% E -5.10% K -7.72% G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-07-01 22:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Valencia (Local) | Real Betis (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.72I 36.76% | 2.72I 36.76% | 3.25I 30.77% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.72I 36.76% | 2.72I 36.76% | 3.25I 30.77% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.72I 36.76% | 2.34I 42.74% | 2.42I 41.32% | 20.8% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |