Language:English
Valencia v Real Betis
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Valencia (Local)
Prediction 35.46%2.82fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.66%35.43%35.47%36.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.632.7741.67%38.17%38.02%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Real Betis (Visit)
Prediction 35.69%2.80fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.410%
Kelly -0.642%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.77
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.01%35.78%35.63%36.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.602.632.7742.19%38.40%38.10%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.85%3.47fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.563%
Kelly -0.798%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%28.79%28.91%29.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.233.203.4033.90%31.00%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Valencia (Local): 35.46%; Real Betis (Visit): 35.69%; Draw: 28.85%. For Real Betis (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.77, with an expected value of -1.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.77%E -0.640%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.14%E -0.410%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.56%E -0.939%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.25%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 21:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.36%EV -5.32%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.23%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.41%EV -7.40%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-02 11:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-03 14:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 08:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.34%E -5.98%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-01 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -13.27%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-01 20:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.38%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 35.83%EV -15.41%E -6.50%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.79%EV -14.90%E -5.05%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-07-06 07:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 30.98% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |