语言:简体中文
Valencia v Real Betis
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Valencia (主队)
预测 35.46%2.82公平赔率
EV -1.77%
优势 -0.640%
Kelly -1.00%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.77
博彩公司预测分布
34.66%35.43%35.47%36.17%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.402.622.632.7741.67%38.17%38.02%36.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
Real Betis (客队)
预测 35.69%2.80公平赔率
EV -1.14%
优势 -0.410%
Kelly -0.642%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.77
博彩公司预测分布
35.01%35.78%35.63%36.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.372.602.632.7742.19%38.40%38.10%36.10%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.85%3.47公平赔率
EV -1.92%
优势 -0.563%
Kelly -0.798%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.40
博彩公司预测分布
27.66%28.79%28.91%29.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.953.233.203.4033.90%31.00%31.25%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Valencia (主队)：35.46%；Real Betis (客队)：35.69%；平局：28.85%。 对于“Real Betis (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.80。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.77，期望值为-1.14%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.77%E -0.640%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.14%E -0.410%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.56%E -0.939%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.25%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 21:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.36%EV -5.32%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.23%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.41%EV -7.40%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-02 11:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-03 14:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 08:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.34%E -5.98%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-01 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -13.27%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-01 20:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.38%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 35.83%EV -15.41%E -6.50%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.79%EV -14.90%E -5.05%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-07-06 07:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 30.98% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |