Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Valencia v Real Betis

Início: 2026-08-16 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Valencia (Local)

Previsão 35.46%2.82odd justa
EV -1.77%
Vantagem -0.640%
Kelly -1.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.66%35.43%35.47%36.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.622.632.7741.67%38.17%38.02%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Real Betis (Visitante)

Previsão 35.69%2.80odd justa
EV -1.14%
Vantagem -0.410%
Kelly -0.642%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.01%35.78%35.63%36.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.372.602.632.7742.19%38.40%38.10%36.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.85%3.47odd justa
EV -1.92%
Vantagem -0.563%
Kelly -0.798%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.66%28.79%28.91%29.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.233.203.4033.90%31.00%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Valencia (Local): 35.46%; Real Betis (Visitante): 35.69%; Empate: 28.85%. Para Real Betis (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.80. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.77, com valor esperado de -1.14%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.77%E -0.640%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.14%E -0.410%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-14 09:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.56%E -0.939%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-14 09:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 20:50
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 07:05
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 00:14
Bovada🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.25%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 21:18
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 13:29
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 13:29
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.36%EV -5.32%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.23%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.41%EV -7.40%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 08:15
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 20:50
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:00
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:04
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 08:39
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-02 11:04
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 05:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 22:29
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-02 10:20
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-01 20:50
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 11:58
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:35
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-03 14:44
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 08:38
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.34%E -5.98%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-01 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-02 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -13.27%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-01 20:58
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.38%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 35.83%EV -15.41%E -6.50%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.79%EV -14.90%E -5.05%K -7.64%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-06 07:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%4.6%2026-07-11 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%4.6%2026-07-11 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%4.6%2026-07-11 23:59
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 32.35%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 30.98%13.6%2026-07-14 09:39