Langue:Français
Valencia v Real Betis
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valencia (Local)
Prévision 35.46%2.82cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -0.640%
Kelly -1.00%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.66%35.43%35.47%36.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.402.622.632.7741.67%38.17%38.02%36.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Real Betis (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.69%2.80cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.642%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.77
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.01%35.78%35.63%36.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.372.602.632.7742.19%38.40%38.10%36.10%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 28.85%3.47cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -0.563%
Kelly -0.798%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.40
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.66%28.79%28.91%29.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.953.233.203.4033.90%31.00%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Valencia (Local) : 35.46% ; Real Betis (Visiteur) : 35.69% ; Match nul : 28.85%. Pour Real Betis (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.80. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.77, pour une espérance de -1.14% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.77%E -0.640%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.14%E -0.410%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.56%E -0.939%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.25%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 21:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.36%EV -5.32%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.23%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.41%EV -7.40%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-02 11:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-03 14:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 08:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.34%E -5.98%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-01 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -13.27%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-01 20:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.38%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 35.83%EV -15.41%E -6.50%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.79%EV -14.90%E -5.05%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-07-06 07:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 30.98% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |