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Valencia v Real Betis
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Valencia (Хозяева)
Прогноз 35.46%2.82справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.77%
Преимущество -0.640%
Kelly -1.00%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.77
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
34.66%35.43%35.47%36.17%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.622.632.7741.67%38.17%38.02%36.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Real Betis (Гости)
Прогноз 35.69%2.80справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.14%
Преимущество -0.410%
Kelly -0.642%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.77
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
35.01%35.78%35.63%36.83%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.372.602.632.7742.19%38.40%38.10%36.10%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 28.85%3.47справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.92%
Преимущество -0.563%
Kelly -0.798%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.40
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.66%28.79%28.91%29.63%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.953.233.203.4033.90%31.00%31.25%29.41%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Valencia (Хозяева): 35.46%; Real Betis (Гости): 35.69%; Ничья: 28.85%. Для исхода «Real Betis (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.80. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 2.77, математическое ожидание — -1.14%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (48 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.77%E -0.640%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.14%E -0.410%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.56%E -0.939%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.25%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 21:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.36%EV -5.32%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.23%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.41%EV -7.40%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-02 11:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-03 14:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 08:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.34%E -5.98%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-01 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -13.27%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-01 20:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.38%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 35.83%EV -15.41%E -6.50%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.79%EV -14.90%E -5.05%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-07-06 07:00 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 30.98% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |