La scuola delle quote

Valencia v Real Betis

2026-08-16 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

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19 bookmaker (2 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Valencia (Casa)

Previsione 35.58%2.81quota equa
EV -4.66%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.44%35.58%35.58%35.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.622.632.6840.00%38.23%38.02%37.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Real Betis (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.58%2.81quota equa
EV -4.66%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.01%35.58%35.58%35.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.622.632.6839.22%38.15%38.02%37.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.85%3.47quota equa
EV -3.36%
Vantaggio -1.00%
Kelly -1.43%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.26%28.85%28.85%29.27%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.053.203.203.3532.79%31.22%31.25%29.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (19 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 13:29
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.66%E -1.74%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 13:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.44%E -2.45%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:30
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.50%E -2.89%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 05:29
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.06%E -4.42%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -9.28%E -3.64%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-02 22:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.