StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valencia v Real Betis

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

48 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Valencia (Hemma)

Prognos 35.46%2.82rättvist odds
EV -1.77%
Fördel -0.640%
Kelly -1.00%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
34.66%35.43%35.47%36.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.402.622.632.7741.67%38.17%38.02%36.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Real Betis (Borta)

Prognos 35.69%2.80rättvist odds
EV -1.14%
Fördel -0.410%
Kelly -0.642%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.77

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
35.01%35.78%35.63%36.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.372.602.632.7742.19%38.40%38.10%36.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 28.85%3.47rättvist odds
EV -1.92%
Fördel -0.563%
Kelly -0.798%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.40

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.66%28.79%28.91%29.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.953.233.203.4033.90%31.00%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Valencia (Hemma): 35.46%; Real Betis (Borta): 35.69%; Oavgjort: 28.85%. För Real Betis (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.80. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.77, med väntevärdet -1.14%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (48 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.77%E -0.640%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.14%E -0.410%K -0.642%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%1.6%2026-07-14 09:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.56%E -0.939%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-14 09:19
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-01 20:50
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 07:05
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 00:14
Bovada🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.25%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-08 21:18
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 13:29
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 13:29
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.36%EV -5.32%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.23%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.41%EV -7.40%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-06 08:15
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 20:50
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:00
Neds🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:00
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 17:04
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 23:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-16 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-09 08:39
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 10:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 17:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-02 11:04
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-14 05:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 22:29
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-02 10:20
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-01 20:50
Everygame🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-13 11:58
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-05 11:35
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-03 14:44
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 08:38
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 09:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.34%E -5.98%K -10.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-01 21:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-13 16:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%12.0%2026-07-02 22:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -13.27%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-01 20:58
NetBet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.38%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 35.83%EV -15.41%E -6.50%K -11.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.79%EV -14.90%E -5.05%K -7.64%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-06 07:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%4.6%2026-07-11 23:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%4.6%2026-07-11 23:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42%4.6%2026-07-11 23:59
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 32.35%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66%2.84I 35.21%NM 30.98%13.6%2026-07-14 09:39