Idioma:Español
Valencia v Real Betis
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Valencia (Local)
Predicción 35.46%2.82momio equitativo
EV -1.77%
Ventaja -0.640%
Kelly -1.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.66%35.43%35.47%36.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.622.632.7741.67%38.17%38.02%36.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Real Betis (Visitante)
Predicción 35.69%2.80momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -0.642%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.77
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.01%35.78%35.63%36.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.372.602.632.7742.19%38.40%38.10%36.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 28.85%3.47momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -0.563%
Kelly -0.798%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.66%28.79%28.91%29.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.233.203.4033.90%31.00%31.25%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Valencia (Local): 35.46%; Real Betis (Visitante): 35.69%; Empate: 28.85%. Para Real Betis (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.80. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.77, con un valor esperado de -1.14%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.77%E -0.640%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.53%EV -1.14%E -0.410%K -0.642%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -3.19%E -1.17%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.49%EV -2.56%E -0.939%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 29.01%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.48%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.95%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.02%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -4.26%E -1.58%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-19 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.25%EV -4.61%E -1.71%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -3.64%E -1.35%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.63%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-08 21:18 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.96%E -1.85%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.71%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -3.36%E -1.00%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-11 13:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.36%EV -5.32%E -1.99%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.23%EV -4.35%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.21I 31.15%NM 29.41%EV -7.40%E -2.30%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 08:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.03%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.42%E -2.05%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.61%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.02%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.44%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.36%EV -6.74%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.47%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.18%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.09%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -7.09%E -2.71%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.64%EV -6.49%E -2.48%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-06 17:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -1.92%E -0.563%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-02 11:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.87%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.56%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-01 22:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-02 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.80%E -1.45%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.23%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.80%E -3.00%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.24%E -1.92%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-03 14:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.75%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-12 08:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.59%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -9.13%E -2.90%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.66%EV -9.57%E -3.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.83%EV -14.34%E -5.98%K -10.24%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -10.57%E -3.41%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-01 21:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.96%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -7.69%E -2.40%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-13 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.71%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -8.99%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.27%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.11%EV -11.35%E -4.54%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -13.27%E -5.46%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -12.01%E -3.94%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-01 20:58 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.38%EV -14.89%E -6.21%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 35.83%EV -15.41%E -6.50%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 28.79%EV -14.90%E -5.05%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-07-06 07:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.16% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.42% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.42% | 4.6% | 2026-07-11 23:59 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.35% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.66% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 30.98% | 13.6% | 2026-07-14 09:39 |