The School of OddsBarcelona v Athletic Bilbao
Head to Head
Option 1: Barcelona (Local)
Odds
1.2977.52%Min
1.4071.67%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4768.03%Max
Consensus probabilities
62.91%1.590Min
67.64%1.478Max
66.29%1.509Mean
66.01%1.515Median
66.10%1.513IQM
66.41%1.506Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.47 under the IQM model: 66.10%
EV -2.84%Edge -1.93%Kelly -6.04%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Athletic Bilbao (Visit)
Odds
5.1019.61%Min
6.6415.06%Mean
6.8814.55%Median
7.6013.16%Max
Consensus probabilities
12.93%7.735Min
16.53%6.050Max
14.23%7.029Mean
14.25%7.017Median
14.27%7.009IQM
14.04%7.122Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 7.60 under the IQM model: 14.27%
EV +8.44%Edge +1.11%Kelly +1.28%Growth +0.108%
Option 3: Draw
Odds
4.1024.39%Min
4.7021.27%Mean
4.7021.28%Median
5.2019.23%Max
Consensus probabilities
18.13%5.514Min
20.63%4.848Max
19.48%5.133Mean
19.74%5.065Median
19.64%5.092IQM
19.55%5.115Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 5.20 under the IQM model: 19.64%
EV +2.11%Edge +0.406%Kelly +0.503%Growth +0.011%
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Barcelona (Local) | Athletic Bilbao (Visit) ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47I 68.03% NM 66.91%EV -2.84% E -1.93% K -6.04% G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16% NM 12.94%EV +8.44% E +1.11% K +1.28% G +0.108% | 4.88I 20.49% NM 20.15%EV -4.17% E -0.855% K -1.08% G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-04 03:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.45I 68.97% NM 66.87%EV -4.16% E -2.87% K -9.25% G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33% NM 12.93%EV +7.01% E +0.935% K +1.08% G +0.076% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 20.20%EV -5.74% E -1.20% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-04 03:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.57%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.51%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.92%EV -1.82% E -0.363% K -0.454% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.57%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.51%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.92%EV -1.82% E -0.363% K -0.454% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.76%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29% NM 13.35%EV -0.123% E -0.018% K -0.020% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.89%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.64%EV -8.13% E -5.85% K -20.84% G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81% NM 13.93%EV -3.69% E -0.547% K -0.642% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.43%EV +0.147% E +0.029% K +0.036% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.71%EV -4.16% E -2.87% K -9.25% G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15% NM 14.44%EV -5.83% E -0.883% K -1.04% G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83% NM 19.85%EV -5.74% E -1.20% K -1.51% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.36%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.51%EV -7.26% E -1.12% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23% NM 18.13%EV +2.11% E +0.406% K +0.503% G +0.011% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 01:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.87%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.40%EV -7.26% E -1.12% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00% NM 18.72%EV -1.82% E -0.363% K -0.454% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| FanDuel | 1.37I 72.99% NM 67.60%EV -9.45% E -6.90% K -25.54% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.25%EV -7.26% E -1.12% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 18.16%EV +0.147% E +0.029% K +0.036% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43% NM 65.51%EV -7.47% E -5.33% K -18.67% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 14.11%EV -7.26% E -1.12% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.38%EV -11.63% E -2.59% K -3.32% G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-04 01:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53% NM 66.87%EV -10.11% E -7.43% K -28.09% G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38% NM 13.99%EV -7.26% E -1.12% K -1.32% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 19.14%EV -6.73% E -1.42% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 65.02%EV -8.79% E -6.37% K -23.13% G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00% NM 14.36%EV -10.82% E -1.73% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99% NM 20.63%EV -14.58% E -3.35% K -4.35% G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 65.02%EV -8.79% E -6.37% K -23.13% G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00% NM 14.36%EV -10.82% E -1.73% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99% NM 20.63%EV -14.58% E -3.35% K -4.35% G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 65.85%EV -14.74% E -11.42% K -50.82% G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39% NM 13.93%EV -12.96% E -2.13% K -2.54% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 20.23%EV -17.53% E -4.17% K -5.48% G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-07-04 17:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.42I 70.42% NM 64.85%EV -6.14% E -4.33% K -14.63% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.35%EV -14.39% E -2.40% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51% NM 19.80%EV -8.69% E -1.87% K -2.38% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 14:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 64.42%EV -6.14% E -4.33% K -14.63% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 15.25%EV -14.39% E -2.40% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22% NM 20.33%EV -11.63% E -2.59% K -3.32% G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-05 14:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53% NM 66.09%EV -10.11% E -7.43% K -28.09% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 14.98%EV -14.39% E -2.40% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05% NM 18.92%EV -6.73% E -1.42% K -1.79% G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.35I 74.07% NM 64.98%EV -10.77% E -7.98% K -30.78% G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67% NM 14.62%EV -14.39% E -2.40% K -2.88% G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26% NM 20.40%EV -15.56% E -3.62% K -4.72% G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-07-05 14:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 64.82%EV -6.14% E -4.33% K -14.63% G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95% NM 15.60%EV -15.82% E -2.68% K -3.23% G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28% NM 19.58%EV -7.71% E -1.64% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-05 14:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.35I 74.07% NM 64.87%EV -10.77% E -7.98% K -30.78% G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39% NM 15.23%EV -17.96% E -3.12% K -3.78% G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73% NM 19.90%EV -13.60% E -3.09% K -4.00% G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-07-04 02:18 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19% NM 63.39%EV -12.09% E -9.09% K -36.65% G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61% NM 16.53%EV -27.23% E -5.34% K -6.64% G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81% NM 20.07%EV -17.53% E -4.17% K -5.48% G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-07-04 02:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Barcelona (Local) | Athletic Bilbao (Visit) | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.39I 71.94% | 5.50I 18.18% | 4.10I 24.39% | 14.5% | 2026-07-05 12:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.46I 68.49% | 4.40I 22.73% | 3.45I 28.99% | 20.2% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.46I 68.49% | 4.40I 22.73% | 3.45I 28.99% | 20.2% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.46I 68.49% | 4.40I 22.73% | 3.45I 28.99% | 20.2% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |