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Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Barcelona (Хозяева)
Прогноз 66.49%1.50справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.59%
Преимущество -2.48%
Kelly -7.99%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.45
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
64.44%66.56%66.46%68.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.281.391.401.4578.13%71.71%71.43%68.97%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Athletic Bilbao (Гости)
Прогноз 14.26%7.01справедливый коэффициент
EV +9.77%
Преимущество +1.27%
Kelly +1.46%
Рост +0.143%
при максимальном коэффициенте 7.70
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
12.76%14.26%14.31%15.65%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.606.656.507.7017.86%15.04%15.38%12.99%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 19.26%5.19справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.06%
Преимущество +0.390%
Kelly +0.480%
Рост +0.010%
при максимальном коэффициенте 5.30
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.66%19.19%19.22%20.70%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.354.794.755.3022.99%20.87%21.05%18.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Barcelona (Хозяева): 66.49%; Athletic Bilbao (Гости): 14.26%; Ничья: 19.26%. Для исхода «Athletic Bilbao (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.01. 2 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.70, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +9.77%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.83%EV -3.59%E -2.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.77%EV +9.77%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.143% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.40%EV -2.36%E -0.466%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -4.92%E -3.44%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.76%EV +8.35%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.106% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 05:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.59%E -3.94%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -7.58%E -5.46%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +2.06%E +0.390%K +0.480%G +0.010% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -1.63%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -1.63%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.38%EV -7.58%E -5.46%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.82I 14.66%NM 13.73%EV -2.77%E -0.407%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.88%EV -4.48%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.92%E -3.44%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.59%E -3.94%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 04:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 15:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 15:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.09%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%EV -8.76%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 04:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.76%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.25%E -5.98%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -16.23%E -3.73%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.25%E -5.98%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -16.23%E -3.73%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.03%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV +0.139%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 05:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 05:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 04:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -14.90%E -11.64%K -53.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.34%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-07-16 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.72%EV -10.24%E -7.59%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -15.89%E -2.69%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-13 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.41%EV -10.91%E -8.14%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.11%EV -17.31%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-11 04:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.44%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -20.17%E -3.60%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.92%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-11 05:20 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (4)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 05:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 05:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |