La scuola delle quote

Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao

2026-08-16 19:00 UTC — La Liga - Spain

Testa a testa

19 bookmaker (2 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Barcelona (Casa)

Previsione 66.38%1.51quota equa
EV -4.41%
Vantaggio -3.06%
Kelly -10.02%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.44

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
64.84%66.38%66.38%66.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.381.401.401.4472.46%71.27%71.43%69.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Athletic Bilbao (Trasferta)

Previsione 13.56%7.37quota equa
EV -5.06%
Vantaggio -0.722%
Kelly -0.843%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.35%13.56%13.56%14.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.256.847.007.0016.00%14.62%14.29%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 20.05%4.99quota equa
EV -4.74%
Vantaggio -0.998%
Kelly -1.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.89%20.05%20.05%20.70%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.354.634.704.7522.99%21.58%21.28%21.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (19 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -6.41%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 08:49
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.41%E -3.06%K -10.02%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -6.41%E -0.929%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 08:50
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.74%E -4.04%K -13.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -4.74%E -0.998%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 05:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -5.06%E -0.722%K -0.843%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.74%E -1.22%K -1.55%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-03 02:20
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -13.19%E -2.06%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -11.76%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 17:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -7.06%E -5.05%K -17.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -15.23%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -11.76%E -2.67%K -3.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.39%E -6.08%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -15.23%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -12.76%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.39%E -6.08%K -22.09%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -15.23%E -2.44%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -12.76%E -2.93%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.