Langue:Français
Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Barcelona (Local)
Prévision 66.49%1.50cote équitable
EV -3.59%
Avantage -2.48%
Kelly -7.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.44%66.56%66.46%68.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.281.391.401.4578.13%71.71%71.43%68.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Athletic Bilbao (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.26%7.01cote équitable
EV +9.77%
Avantage +1.27%
Kelly +1.46%
Croissance +0.143%
avec la cote maximale 7.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.76%14.26%14.31%15.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.606.656.507.7017.86%15.04%15.38%12.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 19.26%5.19cote équitable
EV +2.06%
Avantage +0.390%
Kelly +0.480%
Croissance +0.010%
avec la cote maximale 5.30
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.66%19.19%19.22%20.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.354.794.755.3022.99%20.87%21.05%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Barcelona (Local) : 66.49% ; Athletic Bilbao (Visiteur) : 14.26% ; Match nul : 19.26%. Pour Athletic Bilbao (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.01. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.70, soit une espérance positive de +9.77%.
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.83%EV -3.59%E -2.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.77%EV +9.77%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.143% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.40%EV -2.36%E -0.466%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -4.92%E -3.44%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.76%EV +8.35%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.106% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 05:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.59%E -3.94%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -7.58%E -5.46%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +2.06%E +0.390%K +0.480%G +0.010% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -1.63%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -1.63%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.38%EV -7.58%E -5.46%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.82I 14.66%NM 13.73%EV -2.77%E -0.407%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.88%EV -4.48%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.92%E -3.44%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.59%E -3.94%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 04:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 15:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 15:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.09%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%EV -8.76%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 04:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.76%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.25%E -5.98%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -16.23%E -3.73%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.25%E -5.98%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -16.23%E -3.73%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.03%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV +0.139%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 05:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 05:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 04:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -14.90%E -11.64%K -53.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.34%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-07-16 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.72%EV -10.24%E -7.59%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -15.89%E -2.69%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-13 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.41%EV -10.91%E -8.14%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.11%EV -17.31%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-11 04:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.44%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -20.17%E -3.60%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.92%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-11 05:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 05:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 05:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |