语言:简体中文
Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Barcelona (主队)
预测 66.49%1.50公平赔率
EV -3.59%
优势 -2.48%
Kelly -7.99%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
64.44%66.56%66.46%68.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.391.401.4578.13%71.71%71.43%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
Athletic Bilbao (客队)
预测 14.26%7.01公平赔率
EV +9.77%
优势 +1.27%
Kelly +1.46%
增长率 +0.143%
假设最高赔率为 7.70
博彩公司预测分布
12.76%14.26%14.31%15.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.606.656.507.7017.86%15.04%15.38%12.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 19.26%5.19公平赔率
EV +2.06%
优势 +0.390%
Kelly +0.480%
增长率 +0.010%
假设最高赔率为 5.30
博彩公司预测分布
17.66%19.19%19.22%20.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.354.794.755.3022.99%20.87%21.05%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Barcelona (主队)：66.49%；Athletic Bilbao (客队)：14.26%；平局：19.26%。 对于“Athletic Bilbao (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.01。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为7.70，对应+9.77%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (49 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.83%EV -3.59%E -2.48%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.77%EV +9.77%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.143% | 5.07I 19.72%NM 19.40%EV -2.36%E -0.466%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -4.92%E -3.44%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.76%EV +8.35%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.106% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-14 05:16 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.59%E -3.94%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-14 05:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -7.58%E -5.46%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +2.06%E +0.390%K +0.480%G +0.010% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 07:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 22:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-02 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-03 02:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -1.63%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -1.63%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-11 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.38%EV -7.58%E -5.46%K -19.45%G +0.000% | 6.82I 14.66%NM 13.73%EV -2.77%E -0.407%K -0.477%G +0.000% | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.88%EV -4.48%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-10 10:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.92%E -3.44%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.59%E -3.94%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-18 04:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-01 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 16:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-06 16:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-09 08:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 15:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-17 15:23 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-01 20:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-13 11:58 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.09%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%EV -8.76%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-11 04:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.76%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-16 17:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-22 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.25%E -5.98%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -16.23%E -3.73%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-02 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.25%E -5.98%K -21.71%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -16.23%E -3.73%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-02 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.03%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV +0.139%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 05:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-07-11 05:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-11 04:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-07-05 11:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -14.90%E -11.64%K -53.20%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.34%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-07-16 08:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.72%EV -10.24%E -7.59%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -15.89%E -2.69%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-07-13 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 65.41%EV -10.91%E -8.14%K -32.08%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.11%EV -17.31%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-11 04:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 64.44%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -20.17%E -3.60%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.92%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-07-11 05:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 05:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 00:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20% | 4.2% | 2026-07-14 05:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88% | 9.3% | 2026-07-14 09:19 |