StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barcelona v Athletic Bilbao

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 19:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

49 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Barcelona (Hemma)

Prognos 66.49%1.50rättvist odds
EV -3.59%
Fördel -2.48%
Kelly -7.99%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.45

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
64.44%66.56%66.46%68.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.281.391.401.4578.13%71.71%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Athletic Bilbao (Borta)

Prognos 14.26%7.01rättvist odds
EV +9.77%
Fördel +1.27%
Kelly +1.46%
Tillväxt +0.143%

med antagandet om högsta odds 7.70

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
12.76%14.26%14.31%15.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.606.656.507.7017.86%15.04%15.38%12.99%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 19.26%5.19rättvist odds
EV +2.06%
Fördel +0.390%
Kelly +0.480%
Tillväxt +0.010%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
17.66%19.19%19.22%20.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.354.794.755.3022.99%20.87%21.05%18.87%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Barcelona (Hemma): 66.49%; Athletic Bilbao (Borta): 14.26%; Oavgjort: 19.26%. För Athletic Bilbao (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 7.01. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 7.70, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +9.77%.

Spelbolagsodds (49 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.83%EV -3.59%E -2.48%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.77%EV +9.77%E +1.27%K +1.46%G +0.143%5.07I 19.72%NM 19.40%EV -2.36%E -0.466%K -0.581%G +0.000%1.7%2026-07-14 09:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -4.92%E -3.44%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.76%EV +8.35%E +1.10%K +1.26%G +0.106%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.40%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-14 09:19
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.62%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-14 05:16
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 20:50
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -5.59%E -3.94%K -13.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.51%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.91%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-14 05:29
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.98%EV -7.58%E -5.46%K -19.45%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.53%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 07:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.77%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.46%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.78%EV +2.06%E +0.390%K +0.480%G +0.010%6.1%2026-07-06 07:05
FanDuel🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.34%EV -1.79%E -0.350%K -0.436%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 07:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:19
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:40
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 22:45
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:09
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:10
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-02 23:10
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.76%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.35%EV -0.207%E -0.030%K -0.035%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-03 02:20
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -1.63%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 08:49
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.00%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.77%EV -1.63%E -0.237%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.22%EV -9.49%E -2.02%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-11 08:50
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.38%EV -7.58%E -5.46%K -19.45%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 13.73%EV -2.77%E -0.407%K -0.477%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 18.88%EV -4.48%E -0.904%K -1.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 10:45
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 16:55
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -4.92%E -3.44%K -11.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 16:54
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.04%EV -5.59%E -3.94%K -13.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.43%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-18 04:14
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 23:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:54
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-06 16:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-09 08:39
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 15:25
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-17 15:23
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-01 20:50
Everygame🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.34%E -1.13%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-13 11:58
Codere (IT)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.09%EV -4.26%E -2.96%K -9.68%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.87%EV -8.76%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.04%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 04:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.06%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -8.76%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-16 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.84%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.52%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.63%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 09:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.25%E -5.98%K -21.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -16.23%E -3.73%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.02%EV -8.25%E -5.98%K -21.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.36%EV -10.90%E -1.74%K -2.08%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.63%EV -16.23%E -3.73%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-02 22:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.03%EV -8.91%E -6.51%K -24.09%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV +0.139%E +0.027%K +0.033%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 05:00
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -7.56%E -1.58%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 05:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -6.92%E -4.94%K -17.30%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-11 04:59
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.09%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -8.53%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-05 11:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 66.48%EV -14.90%E -11.64%K -53.20%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.18%EV -14.46%E -2.41%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.34%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%17.5%2026-07-16 08:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.72%EV -10.24%E -7.59%K -29.27%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.27%EV -15.89%E -2.69%K -3.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -3.71%E -0.743%K -0.928%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-13 16:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.41%EV -10.91%E -8.14%K -32.08%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.11%EV -17.31%E -2.99%K -3.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.48%EV -13.34%E -2.96%K -3.81%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-11 04:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.44%EV -9.58%E -7.04%K -26.61%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.65%EV -20.17%E -3.60%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.92%EV -15.27%E -3.47%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.1%2026-07-11 05:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%4.2%2026-07-14 05:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%4.2%2026-07-14 00:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.68%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.12%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.20%4.2%2026-07-14 05:19
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 64.87%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%9.3%2026-07-14 09:19