默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

CF Estrela v Braga

开赛时间: 2026-09-10 19:15 UTC

最终结果: CF Estrela 2–1 Braga

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

57 家博彩公司 (20 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

CF Estrela (主队)

预测 19.43%5.15公平赔率
EV +2.96%
优势 +0.559%
Kelly +0.688%
增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 5.30

博彩公司预测分布
17.65%19.38%19.44%20.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.354.714.755.3022.99%21.23%21.05%18.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

Braga (客队)

预测 55.38%1.81公平赔率
EV -0.310%
优势 -0.172%
Kelly -0.387%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.66%55.33%55.44%57.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.581.691.701.8063.29%59.02%58.82%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.19%3.97公平赔率
EV -4.28%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -1.53%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.80

博彩公司预测分布
24.35%25.29%25.13%26.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.353.603.603.8029.85%27.76%27.78%26.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:CF Estrela (主队):19.43%;Braga (客队):55.38%;平局:25.19%。 对于“CF Estrela (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.15。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.30,对应+2.96%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (57 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Tipico (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV +2.96%E +0.559%K +0.688%G +0.020%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.74%EV -10.28%E -6.35%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 17:06
FanDuel🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.15%EV -0.925%E -0.181%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.49%EV -10.83%E -6.73%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:39
Coolbet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -2.87%E -0.574%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.47%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-09 16:41
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.87%E -0.574%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -2.87%E -0.574%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.39%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.87%E -0.574%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-09 16:30
SportsBet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV -2.87%E -0.574%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.53%EV -8.06%E -4.86%K -12.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-09 14:40
PlayUp🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -2.87%E -0.574%K -0.717%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -8.62%E -5.22%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 14:50
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.27%EV -4.81%E -0.982%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.55%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-09 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -4.81%E -0.982%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -7.80%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-09 14:40
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -4.81%E -0.982%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -13.09%E -3.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 07:00
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -4.81%E -0.982%K -1.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -13.09%E -3.80%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-09 06:59
Pinnacle🎯4.89I 20.45%NM 19.42%EV -5.00%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.53%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -4.53%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-09 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.89%EV -5.78%E -1.19%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.21%EV -9.73%E -5.97%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.90%EV -7.30%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-09 16:31
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 08:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -4.19%E -2.42%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-08 08:35
Bovada🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:10
BetUS🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -6.75%E -1.41%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.33%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:15
Fanatics🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-09 09:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 08:35
Neds🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 08:35
Betway🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-09 16:01
Bet Right🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.96%E -4.14%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-09 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.50%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-09 14:36
888sport🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:26
888sport (SE)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:26
William Hill🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.41%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.24%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-09 13:26
Sky Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.08%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-09 14:40
Bet Victor🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.62%E -5.22%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:30
betano_uk🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.38%EV -8.62%E -5.22%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 12:28
Unibet (FR)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.78%EV -7.72%E -1.63%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.45%EV -12.49%E -7.91%K -21.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-09 16:25
DraftKings🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -8.70%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.24%EV -6.40%E -3.79%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-09 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -8.70%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -6.40%E -3.79%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -8.70%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.06%EV -6.40%E -3.79%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.15%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-09 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.20%EV -8.70%E -1.85%K -2.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.37%EV -9.73%E -5.97%K -15.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.42%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-09 16:06
GTbets🎯4.61I 21.69%NM 20.73%EV -10.44%E -2.27%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.09%EV -0.310%E -0.172%K -0.387%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.18%EV -8.06%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 02:00
Casumo🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:20
Grosvenor🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:21
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:21
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:21
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:20
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.10%EV -1.97%E -1.11%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 17:20
BetMGM🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.13%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.15%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 08:35
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -10.64%E -2.31%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV -7.51%E -4.50%K -11.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-09 14:36
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -12.58%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-08 15:10
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -12.58%E -2.80%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -10.28%E -6.35%K -16.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 16:25
BetRivers🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:20
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:21
TABtouch🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.61%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.72%EV -4.74%E -2.76%K -6.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-09 17:26
Unibet (NL)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.66%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -15.61%E -4.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 17:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.66%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -15.61%E -4.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 17:20
Unibet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.66%EV -5.29%E -3.10%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -15.61%E -4.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-09 17:26
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -14.52%E -3.30%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.31%EV -11.39%E -7.12%K -18.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-09 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -15.49%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.68%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -15.61%E -4.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 17:21
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -15.49%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.68%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -15.61%E -4.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 17:21
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.59%EV -15.49%E -3.56%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.68%EV -5.85%E -3.44%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -15.61%E -4.66%K -6.64%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-09 17:21
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.78%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.16%0.6%2026-09-09 16:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.34%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.75%1.0%2026-09-09 17:00
Kalshi◎5.26I 19.01%NM 18.79%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-09-09 17:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-09-09 17:31
Smarkets◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.50%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.82%2.0%2026-09-09 16:51