Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

CF Estrela v Braga

2026-09-10 19:15 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Testa a testa

41 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

CF Estrela (Casa)

Previsione 23.80%4.20quota equa
EV -3.86%
Vantaggio -0.955%
Kelly -1.27%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.04

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.02%23.80%23.81%24.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.863.854.0427.78%25.90%25.97%24.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Braga (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.93%2.04quota equa
EV -4.58%
Vantaggio -2.35%
Kelly -4.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.93%48.95%48.94%50.24%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.781.891.901.9556.18%53.03%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.27%3.67quota equa
EV -4.56%
Vantaggio -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.53%27.26%27.25%27.91%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.363.403.5031.25%29.77%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: CF Estrela (Casa): 23.80%; Braga (Trasferta): 48.93%; Pareggio: 27.27%. Per CF Estrela (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.20. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 4.04, con un valore atteso del -3.86%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (41 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.29%EV -5.11%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.39%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -5.65%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -11.43%E -6.31%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 01:40
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 00:35
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 01:00
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.24%EV -12.90%E -7.25%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.94%E -6.01%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -11.92%E -6.62%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.45%E -5.71%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.11%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.31%10.0%2026-09-06 01:45
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25