StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

CF Estrela v Braga

2026-09-10 19:15 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Wedstrijduitslag

41 wedaanbieders (14 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

CF Estrela (Thuis)

Prognose 23.80%4.20margevrije odds
EV -3.86%
Voordeel -0.955%
Kelly -1.27%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 4.04

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
23.02%23.80%23.81%24.54%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.603.863.854.0427.78%25.90%25.97%24.75%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Braga (Uit)

Prognose 48.93%2.04margevrije odds
EV -4.58%
Voordeel -2.35%
Kelly -4.82%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.95

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
47.93%48.95%48.94%50.24%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.781.891.901.9556.18%53.03%52.63%51.28%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 27.27%3.67margevrije odds
EV -4.56%
Voordeel -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.50

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
26.53%27.26%27.25%27.91%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.203.363.403.5031.25%29.77%29.41%28.57%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: CF Estrela (Thuis): 23.80%; Braga (Uit): 48.93%; Gelijkspel: 27.27%. Voor CF Estrela (Thuis) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.20. Geen enkele geschikte wedaanbieder biedt odds boven dat niveau: de beste beschikbare odds zijn 4.04, met een verwachtingswaarde van -3.86%; ze leveren geen positieve verwachtingswaarde op.

Odds van wedaanbieders (41 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuis ▼UitGelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.29%EV -5.11%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.39%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -5.65%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -11.43%E -6.31%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 01:40
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 00:35
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 01:00
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.24%EV -12.90%E -7.25%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.94%E -6.01%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -11.92%E -6.62%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.45%E -5.71%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.11%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.31%10.0%2026-09-06 01:45
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25