Idioma:Español
CF Estrela v Braga
Resultado del partido
CF Estrela (Local)
Predicción 23.80%4.20momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -0.955%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.02%23.80%23.81%24.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.863.854.0427.78%25.90%25.97%24.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Braga (Visitante)
Predicción 48.93%2.04momio equitativo
EV -4.58%
Ventaja -2.35%
Kelly -4.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.93%48.95%48.94%50.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.891.901.9556.18%53.03%52.63%51.28%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.27%3.67momio equitativo
EV -4.56%
Ventaja -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.53%27.26%27.25%27.91%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.363.403.5031.25%29.77%29.41%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: CF Estrela (Local): 23.80%; Braga (Visitante): 48.93%; Empate: 27.27%. Para CF Estrela (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.20. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 4.04, con un valor esperado de -3.86%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.29%EV -5.11%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.39%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -5.65%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -11.43%E -6.31%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-05 23:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 00:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-06 00:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 01:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 00:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 01:00 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 02:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.24%EV -12.90%E -7.25%K -16.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 01:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.94%E -6.01%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -11.92%E -6.62%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.45%E -5.71%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.11% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 27.31% | 10.0% | 2026-09-06 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61% | 13.2% | 2026-09-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98% | 75.7% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98% | 75.7% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98% | 75.7% | 2026-09-05 23:25 |