StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

CF Estrela v Braga

2026-09-10 19:15 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Matchresultat

41 spelbolag (14 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

CF Estrela (Hemma)

Prognos 23.80%4.20rättvist odds
EV -3.86%
Fördel -0.955%
Kelly -1.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.02%23.80%23.81%24.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.603.863.854.0427.78%25.90%25.97%24.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Braga (Borta)

Prognos 48.93%2.04rättvist odds
EV -4.58%
Fördel -2.35%
Kelly -4.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.95

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.93%48.95%48.94%50.24%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.781.891.901.9556.18%53.03%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.27%3.67rättvist odds
EV -4.56%
Fördel -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.53%27.26%27.25%27.91%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.363.403.5031.25%29.77%29.41%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: CF Estrela (Hemma): 23.80%; Braga (Borta): 48.93%; Oavgjort: 27.27%. För CF Estrela (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.20. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.04, med väntevärdet -3.86%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (41 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.29%EV -5.11%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.39%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -5.65%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -11.43%E -6.31%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 01:40
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 00:35
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 01:00
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.24%EV -12.90%E -7.25%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.94%E -6.01%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -11.92%E -6.62%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.45%E -5.71%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.11%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.31%10.0%2026-09-06 01:45
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25