StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

CF Estrela v Braga

2026-09-10 19:15 UTC — Primeira Liga - Portugal

Direkter Vergleich

41 Wettanbieter (14 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

CF Estrela (Heim)

Prognose 23.80%4.20faire Quote
EV -3.86%
Vorteil -0.955%
Kelly -1.27%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.04

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.02%23.80%23.81%24.54%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.603.863.854.0427.78%25.90%25.97%24.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Braga (Auswärts)

Prognose 48.93%2.04faire Quote
EV -4.58%
Vorteil -2.35%
Kelly -4.82%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
47.93%48.95%48.94%50.24%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.781.891.901.9556.18%53.03%52.63%51.28%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 27.27%3.67faire Quote
EV -4.56%
Vorteil -1.30%
Kelly -1.82%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
26.53%27.26%27.25%27.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.203.363.403.5031.25%29.77%29.41%28.57%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: CF Estrela (Heim): 23.80%; Braga (Auswärts): 48.93%; Unentschieden: 27.27%. Für CF Estrela (Heim) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.20. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bietet eine Quote über diesem Wert an: Die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.04, bei einem Erwartungswert von -3.86%; sie ergibt keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (41 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.51%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.20%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.29%EV -5.11%E -1.47%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
GTbets🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.35%EV -3.86%E -0.955%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.39%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.26%EV -5.65%E -1.63%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.56%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.78%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:04
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-05 23:05
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.46%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.29%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.25%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-05 23:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.24%EV -11.43%E -6.31%K -14.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-05 23:04
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -4.58%E -2.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-05 23:05
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-05 23:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -5.56%E -2.88%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-06 00:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:05
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -6.54%E -3.42%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.92%E -1.72%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-05 23:05
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.99%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-05 23:25
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -4.56%E -1.30%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 01:40
BetRivers🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-05 23:05
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.80%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.37%EV -8.49%E -4.54%K -9.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.83%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-06 00:35
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.41%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.29%E -2.14%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 01:00
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -7.03%E -3.70%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 02:09
Virgin Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.28%EV -9.47%E -5.12%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.91%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-05 23:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.24%EV -12.90%E -7.25%K -16.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -12.74%E -3.98%K -5.79%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-05 23:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.93%EV -8.00%E -4.26%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.72%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 01:35
Winamax (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.43%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.94%E -6.01%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -8.65%E -2.58%K -3.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-05 23:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -11.92%E -6.62%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.76%EV -10.01%E -3.03%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Sky Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.33%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.45%E -5.71%K -12.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -11.38%E -3.50%K -5.06%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.11%3.33I 30.03%NM 27.31%10.0%2026-09-06 01:45
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 23.56%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%13.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 36.03%1.78I 56.18%NM 31.98%75.7%2026-09-05 23:25