Language:English
Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prediction 58.58%1.71fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -8.22%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.74%58.62%58.58%60.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Zagłębie Lubin (Visit)
Prediction 16.89%5.92fair odd
EV +4.21%
Edge +0.682%
Kelly +0.814%
Growth +0.034%
assuming max odds 6.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.37%16.83%16.90%17.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.435.406.1720.00%18.43%18.52%16.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.53%4.08fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.790%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.91%24.56%24.52%25.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.723.753.9530.30%26.89%26.67%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Legia Warszawa (Local): 58.58%; Zagłębie Lubin (Visit): 16.89%; Draw: 24.53%. For Zagłębie Lubin (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.92. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.17, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.37%EV +4.21%E +0.682%K +0.814%G +0.034% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.51%EV -1.87%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.12%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -3.73%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -5.42%E -0.967%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:27 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.58%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:28 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.36%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-17 18:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.41%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.06%E -5.78%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.7% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |