StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-17 18:32 UTC

Endstand: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zagłębie Lubin

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

51 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Legia Warszawa (Heim)

Prognose 58.58%1.71faire Quote
EV -5.09%
Vorteil -3.14%
Kelly -8.22%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.62

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.74%58.62%58.58%60.55%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Zagłębie Lubin (Auswärts)

Prognose 16.89%5.92faire Quote
EV +4.21%
Vorteil +0.682%
Kelly +0.814%
Wachstum +0.034%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.17

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
15.37%16.83%16.90%17.81%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
5.005.435.406.1720.00%18.43%18.52%16.21%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 24.53%4.08faire Quote
EV -3.12%
Vorteil -0.790%
Kelly -1.06%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.95

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.91%24.56%24.52%25.91%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.303.723.753.9530.30%26.89%26.67%25.32%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Legia Warszawa (Heim): 58.58%; Zagłębie Lubin (Auswärts): 16.89%; Unentschieden: 24.53%. Für Zagłębie Lubin (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.92. 3 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 6.17 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.21%.

Wettanbieterquoten (51 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼UnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.37%EV +4.21%E +0.682%K +0.814%G +0.034%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 18:29
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 18:29
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.51%EV -1.87%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.12%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -3.73%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -5.42%E -0.967%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:29
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:30
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:29
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:29
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:29
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:27
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:29
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:29
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:30
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:29
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:29
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 18:29
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:26
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.58%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:28
Virgin Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:30
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.36%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 18:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 18:28
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.41%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-17 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.06%E -5.78%K -8.29%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-17 18:29
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%6.0%2026-04-17 18:30