Szkoła Kursów

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

Początek: 2026-04-17 18:32 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zagłębie Lubin

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

51 bukmacherów (18 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 58.58%1.71kurs godziwy
EV -5.09%
Przewaga -3.14%
Kelly -8.22%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.62

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
56.74%58.62%58.58%60.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Zagłębie Lubin (Goście)

Prognoza 16.89%5.92kurs godziwy
EV +4.21%
Przewaga +0.682%
Kelly +0.814%
Wzrost +0.034%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
15.37%16.83%16.90%17.81%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
5.005.435.406.1720.00%18.43%18.52%16.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 24.53%4.08kurs godziwy
EV -3.12%
Przewaga -0.790%
Kelly -1.06%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.95

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
23.91%24.56%24.52%25.91%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.303.723.753.9530.30%26.89%26.67%25.32%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (51 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.37%EV +4.21%E +0.682%K +0.814%G +0.034%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 18:29
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 18:29
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.51%EV -1.87%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.12%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -3.73%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:29
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -5.42%E -0.967%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 18:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:30
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:29
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:29
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:29
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:29
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:27
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:29
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:29
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 18:29
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:29
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:26
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:30
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.58%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:28
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:30
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.36%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 18:28
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.41%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:30
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-17 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.06%E -5.78%K -8.29%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-17 18:29
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%6.0%2026-04-17 18:30