La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Predicción 58.58%1.71momio equitativo
EV -5.09%
Ventaja -3.14%
Kelly -8.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.74%58.62%58.58%60.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Zagłębie Lubin (Visitante)
Predicción 16.89%5.92momio equitativo
EV +4.21%
Ventaja +0.682%
Kelly +0.814%
Crecimiento +0.034%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.37%16.83%16.90%17.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.005.435.406.1720.00%18.43%18.52%16.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.53%4.08momio equitativo
EV -3.12%
Ventaja -0.790%
Kelly -1.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.91%24.56%24.52%25.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.723.753.9530.30%26.89%26.67%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.37%EV +4.21%E +0.682%K +0.814%G +0.034% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.51%EV -1.87%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.12%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -3.73%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -5.42%E -0.967%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:27 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:26 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.58%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.36%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-17 18:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.41%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.06%E -5.78%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.7% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |