مدرسة الاحتمالات

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

البداية: 2026-04-17 18:32 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zagłębie Lubin

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

51 شركة مراهنات (18 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Legia Warszawa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.58%1.71السعر العادل
EV -5.09%
الأفضلية -3.14%
Kelly -8.22%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.62

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.74%58.62%58.58%60.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Zagłębie Lubin (الضيف)

التنبؤ 16.89%5.92السعر العادل
EV +4.21%
الأفضلية +0.682%
Kelly +0.814%
النمو +0.034%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.37%16.83%16.90%17.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.005.435.406.1720.00%18.43%18.52%16.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 24.53%4.08السعر العادل
EV -3.12%
الأفضلية -0.790%
Kelly -1.06%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.91%24.56%24.52%25.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.723.753.9530.30%26.89%26.67%25.32%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (51 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.37%EV +4.21%E +0.682%K +0.814%G +0.034%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 18:29
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 18:29
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.51%EV -1.87%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.12%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -3.73%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:29
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -5.42%E -0.967%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 18:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:30
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:29
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:29
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:29
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:29
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:27
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:29
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:29
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 18:29
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:29
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:26
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:30
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.58%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:28
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:30
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.36%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 18:28
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.41%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:30
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-17 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.06%E -5.78%K -8.29%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-17 18:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%6.0%2026-04-17 18:30