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Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Legia Warszawa (Хозяева)
Прогноз 58.58%1.71справедливый коэффициент
EV -5.09%
Преимущество -3.14%
Kelly -8.22%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 1.62
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
56.74%58.62%58.58%60.55%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Zagłębie Lubin (Гости)
Прогноз 16.89%5.92справедливый коэффициент
EV +4.21%
Преимущество +0.682%
Kelly +0.814%
Рост +0.034%
при максимальном коэффициенте 6.17
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
15.37%16.83%16.90%17.81%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
5.005.435.406.1720.00%18.43%18.52%16.21%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 24.53%4.08справедливый коэффициент
EV -3.12%
Преимущество -0.790%
Kelly -1.06%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.95
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.91%24.56%24.52%25.91%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.723.753.9530.30%26.89%26.67%25.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Legia Warszawa (Хозяева): 58.58%; Zagłębie Lubin (Гости): 16.89%; Ничья: 24.53%. Для исхода «Zagłębie Lubin (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 5.92. 3 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 6.17, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +4.21%.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (51 букмекерская контора)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости ▼ | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.37%EV +4.21%E +0.682%K +0.814%G +0.034% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.51%EV -1.87%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.12%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -3.73%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -5.42%E -0.967%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:27 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:26 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.58%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:28 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.36%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-17 18:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.41%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.06%E -5.78%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (6)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.7% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |