La scuola delle quote

Legia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin

Inizio: 2026-04-17 18:32 UTC

Finale: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zagłębie Lubin

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Legia Warszawa (Casa)

Previsione 58.58%1.71quota equa
EV -5.09%
Vantaggio -3.14%
Kelly -8.22%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.74%58.62%58.58%60.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zagłębie Lubin (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.89%5.92quota equa
EV +4.21%
Vantaggio +0.682%
Kelly +0.814%
Crescita +0.034%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.37%16.83%16.90%17.81%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.005.435.406.1720.00%18.43%18.52%16.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 24.53%4.08quota equa
EV -3.12%
Vantaggio -0.790%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.91%24.56%24.52%25.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.723.753.9530.30%26.89%26.67%25.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000%6.17I 16.21%NM 15.37%EV +4.21%E +0.682%K +0.814%G +0.034%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 18:29
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 18:29
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.51%EV -1.87%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.12%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 18:29
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -3.73%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 18:29
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -5.42%E -0.967%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-17 18:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:30
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 18:29
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 18:30
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 18:29
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:29
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 18:29
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:27
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:29
BetUS1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Bet Right1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:29
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 18:29
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:30
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:29
Betr (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-17 18:29
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-17 18:29
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-17 18:29
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:29
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 18:30
Grosvenor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:26
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
betPARX1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Svenska Spel1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-17 18:30
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-17 18:30
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 18:29
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.58%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:28
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 18:30
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 58.36%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-17 18:29
Unibet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-17 18:28
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.41%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:30
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-17 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-17 18:30
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-17 18:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.06%E -5.78%K -8.29%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-17 18:29
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%0.9%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97%1.7%2026-04-17 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79%2.5%2026-04-17 18:30
Smarkets1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-04-17 18:30
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%6.0%2026-04-17 18:30