L’École des cotesLegia Warszawa v Zagłębie Lubin
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Legia Warszawa (Local)
Prévision 58.58%1.71cote équitable
EV -5.09%
Avantage -3.14%
Kelly -8.22%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.62
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.74%58.62%58.58%60.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.571.571.6266.67%63.73%63.69%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Zagłębie Lubin (Visiteur)
Prévision 16.89%5.92cote équitable
EV +4.21%
Avantage +0.682%
Kelly +0.814%
Croissance +0.034%
avec la cote maximale 6.17
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.37%16.83%16.90%17.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.435.406.1720.00%18.43%18.52%16.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 24.53%4.08cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -0.790%
Kelly -1.06%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.95
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.91%24.56%24.52%25.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.723.753.9530.30%26.89%26.67%25.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.66%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 6.17I 16.21%NM 15.37%EV +4.21%E +0.682%K +0.814%G +0.034% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.96%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.44%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.70%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.55%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.54%EV +1.34%E +0.223%K +0.268%G +0.004% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.21%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.51%EV -1.87%E -0.322%K -0.389%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.28%EV -3.12%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.53%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.19%EV -3.73%E -0.654%K -0.793%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.05%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.55%EV -5.42%E -0.967%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -5.09%E -3.14%K -8.22%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.53%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -4.35%E -1.11%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.07%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.00%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -6.85%E -4.31%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| NordicBet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.87%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:27 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| BetUS | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.57%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Bet Right | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.13%EV -7.44%E -4.71%K -12.82%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.17%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.09%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.58%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.80%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.57%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.50%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.40%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.14%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.59%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.16%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.19%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.14%EV -7.11%E -1.29%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.66%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.26%EV -5.68%E -3.53%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.37%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -5.57%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:26 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.23%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -6.80%E -1.79%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.50%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.01%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.77%EV -8.80%E -1.63%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.31%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.27%EV -10.48%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.76%EV -6.27%E -3.92%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.64%EV -8.03%E -2.14%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.61%E -5.52%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.29%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.53%EV -9.25%E -2.50%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.58%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.85%EV -11.33%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.57%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:28 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.05%EV -9.19%E -5.93%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.65%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.36%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.17%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -10.48%E -2.87%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.49%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 16.98%EV -12.17%E -2.34%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-04-17 18:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.41%EV -9.78%E -6.35%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.29%EV -11.54%E -7.64%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.26%EV -13.86%E -2.72%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.74%EV -8.02%E -5.11%K -14.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.45%EV -14.16%E -4.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.37%E -6.78%K -19.56%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -11.71%E -3.25%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 56.99%EV -12.12%E -8.08%K -24.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.10%EV -15.55%E -3.11%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.91%EV -19.06%E -5.78%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-17 18:29 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.81% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.02% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 60.67% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.97% | 1.7% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.97% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.24% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.79% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.83% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.63% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 19.83% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 18:30 |