Language:English
Korona Kielce v Legia Warszawa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Korona Kielce (Local)
Prediction 30.69%3.26fair odd
EV -0.555%
Edge -0.171%
Kelly -0.248%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.31%30.80%30.67%33.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.922.953.2438.02%34.20%33.90%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Legia Warszawa (Visit)
Prediction 40.23%2.49fair odd
EV +0.567%
Edge +0.227%
Kelly +0.378%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.17%40.12%40.26%41.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.302.5046.51%42.82%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.08%3.44fair odd
EV -4.04%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.84%29.09%29.07%30.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.163.3034.48%31.85%31.70%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Korona Kielce (Local): 30.69%; Legia Warszawa (Visit): 40.23%; Draw: 29.08%. For Legia Warszawa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.49. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.567%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.12%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 17:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -19.28%E -7.33%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.54%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.11%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.53%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.31%EV -0.555%E -0.171%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.68%E -3.83%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 17:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.91%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.87%EV -13.45%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.11%EV -12.71%E -5.86%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.23%EV -10.07%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.20%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 17:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 17:22 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
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