StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Korona Kielce v Legia Warszawa

Matchstart: 2026-08-08 18:15 UTC

Slutresultat: Korona Kielce 1–1 Legia Warszawa

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Korona Kielce (Hemma)

Prognos 30.69%3.26rättvist odds
EV -0.555%
Fördel -0.171%
Kelly -0.248%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.24

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.31%30.80%30.67%33.79%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.632.922.953.2438.02%34.20%33.90%30.86%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Legia Warszawa (Borta)

Prognos 40.23%2.49rättvist odds
EV +0.567%
Fördel +0.227%
Kelly +0.378%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.17%40.12%40.26%41.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.152.342.302.5046.51%42.82%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 29.08%3.44rättvist odds
EV -4.04%
Fördel -1.22%
Kelly -1.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.30

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.84%29.09%29.07%30.98%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.903.143.163.3034.48%31.85%31.70%30.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Korona Kielce (Hemma): 30.69%; Legia Warszawa (Borta): 40.23%; Oavgjort: 29.08%. För Legia Warszawa (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.49. 8 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 2.50, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +0.567%.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:04
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:05
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 17:59
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:05
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.12%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 18:00
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 17:39
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 17:59
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 17:58
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:14
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -19.28%E -7.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.54%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.11%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:05
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 17:35
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:14
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 17:39
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 17:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.53%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 17:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 18:04
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:00
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 17:34
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 17:34
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 17:10
1xBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.31%EV -0.555%E -0.171%K -0.248%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.68%E -3.83%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 17:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 17:34
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 17:59
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 18:05
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.91%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 30.87%EV -13.45%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.11%EV -12.71%E -5.86%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-08 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 30.23%EV -10.07%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.20%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 17:48
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 17:22
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:05
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-08-08 18:05
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-08-08 18:10