Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Korona Kielce v Legia Warszawa

Początek: 2026-08-08 18:15 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Korona Kielce 1–1 Legia Warszawa

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

52 bukmacherów (20 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Korona Kielce (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 30.69%3.26kurs godziwy
EV -0.555%
Przewaga -0.171%
Kelly -0.248%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.24

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
29.31%30.80%30.67%33.79%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.632.922.953.2438.02%34.20%33.90%30.86%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Legia Warszawa (Goście)

Prognoza 40.23%2.49kurs godziwy
EV +0.567%
Przewaga +0.227%
Kelly +0.378%
Wzrost +0.002%

przy maksymalnym kursie 2.50

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
37.17%40.12%40.26%41.83%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.152.342.302.5046.51%42.82%43.48%40.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Remis

Prognoza 29.08%3.44kurs godziwy
EV -4.04%
Przewaga -1.22%
Kelly -1.75%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.30

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
27.84%29.09%29.07%30.98%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.903.143.163.3034.48%31.85%31.70%30.30%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Korona Kielce (Gospodarze): 30.69%; Legia Warszawa (Goście): 40.23%; Remis: 29.08%. Dla wyniku Legia Warszawa (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 2.49. 8 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 2.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +0.567%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (52 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼RemisMarżaAktualizacja
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:04
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:05
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 17:59
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:05
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.12%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 18:00
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 17:39
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 17:59
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 17:58
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:14
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -19.28%E -7.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.54%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.11%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:05
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 17:35
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:14
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 17:39
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 17:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.53%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 17:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 18:04
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:00
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 17:34
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 17:34
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 17:10
1xBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.31%EV -0.555%E -0.171%K -0.248%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.68%E -3.83%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 17:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 17:34
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 17:59
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 18:05
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.91%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 30.87%EV -13.45%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.11%EV -12.71%E -5.86%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-08 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 30.23%EV -10.07%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.20%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 17:48
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 17:22
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeRemisMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:05
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-08-08 18:05
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-08-08 18:10