语言:简体中文
Korona Kielce v Legia Warszawa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Korona Kielce (主队)
预测 30.69%3.26公平赔率
EV -0.555%
优势 -0.171%
Kelly -0.248%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.24
博彩公司预测分布
29.31%30.80%30.67%33.79%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.922.953.2438.02%34.20%33.90%30.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
Legia Warszawa (客队)
预测 40.23%2.49公平赔率
EV +0.567%
优势 +0.227%
Kelly +0.378%
增长率 +0.002%
假设最高赔率为 2.50
博彩公司预测分布
37.17%40.12%40.26%41.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.342.302.5046.51%42.82%43.48%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 29.08%3.44公平赔率
EV -4.04%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -1.75%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.30
博彩公司预测分布
27.84%29.09%29.07%30.98%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.143.163.3034.48%31.85%31.70%30.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Korona Kielce (主队)：30.69%；Legia Warszawa (客队)：40.23%；平局：29.08%。 对于“Legia Warszawa (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.49。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.50，对应+0.567%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (52 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.12%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 17:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -19.28%E -7.33%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.54%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.11%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.53%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.31%EV -0.555%E -0.171%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.68%E -3.83%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 17:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.91%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.87%EV -13.45%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.11%EV -12.71%E -5.86%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.23%EV -10.07%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.20%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 17:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 17:22 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (6)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |