Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Korona Kielce v Legia Warszawa

2026-08-08 18:15 UTC — Ekstraklasa - Poland

Testa a testa

21 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Korona Kielce (Casa)

Previsione 33.25%3.01quota equa
EV -5.22%
Vantaggio -1.83%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.75%33.32%33.26%34.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.732.752.8539.22%36.61%36.36%35.09%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Legia Warszawa (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.13%2.69quota equa
EV -4.95%
Vantaggio -1.93%
Kelly -3.17%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.68%37.24%37.07%38.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.302.442.502.5643.48%40.97%40.00%39.06%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 29.62%3.38quota equa
EV +0.697%
Vantaggio +0.205%
Kelly +0.290%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.73%29.44%29.67%30.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.123.103.4033.90%32.08%32.26%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Korona Kielce (Casa): 33.25%; Legia Warszawa (Trasferta): 37.13%; Pareggio: 29.62%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.38. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 3.40, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.697%.

Quote dei bookmaker (21 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV +0.697%E +0.205%K +0.290%G +0.002%5.1%2026-08-02 13:29
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -2.27%E -0.686%K -0.985%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:33
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.89%E -4.54%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -2.27%E -0.686%K -0.985%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 13:35
SportsBet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -10.21%E -3.78%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -10.89%E -4.54%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -2.27%E -0.686%K -0.985%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:29
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.40%EV -12.87%E -4.91%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.87%EV -11.63%E -4.89%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -3.75%E -1.15%K -1.66%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 13:35
Pinnacle2.85I 35.09%NM 33.29%EV -5.22%E -1.83%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -4.95%E -1.93%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.23%E -1.63%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:20
Marathon Bet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.22%EV -7.22%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.07%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -7.60%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:19
1xBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.22%EV -7.22%E -2.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.07%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.71%EV -7.60%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:50
NordicBet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.55%E -2.72%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -6.44%E -2.55%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:20
Betsson2.78I 35.97%NM 33.33%EV -7.55%E -2.72%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.77%EV -6.44%E -2.55%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:19
DraftKings2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 16:29
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 14:20
Fanatics2.75I 36.36%NM 33.23%EV -8.55%E -3.11%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.30%EV -9.03%E -3.69%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.19%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 13:40
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 33.80%EV -13.54%E -5.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.39%EV -12.75%E -5.42%K -9.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.81%EV -9.67%E -3.17%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 14:20
888sport2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:15
888sport (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:14
Mr Green (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -6.89%E -2.46%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.18%E -2.87%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 14:14
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.37%EV -13.54%E -5.21%K -8.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.72%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.92%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-02 13:35
Winamax (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.80%EV -15.20%E -5.96%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.47%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.73%EV -11.15%E -3.72%K -5.58%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-02 14:20
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.04%EV -11.87%E -4.48%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.58%EV -13.49%E -5.79%K -10.14%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.38%EV -11.74%E -3.94%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-02 14:18
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 32.78%EV -11.87%E -4.48%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.77%EV -14.60%E -6.35%K -11.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%EV -12.63%E -4.28%K -6.48%G +0.000%15.1%2026-08-02 18:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 33.49%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.84%2.98I 33.56%NM 29.67%13.1%2026-08-02 14:20