Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Korona Kielce (Local): 30.69%; Legia Warszawa (Visitante): 40.23%; Empate: 29.08%. Para Legia Warszawa (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.49. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.567%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.12%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-08 18:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 17:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-08 17:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -19.28%E -7.33%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.54%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.11%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 17:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-08 17:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.53%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-08 17:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-08 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-08 17:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.31%EV -0.555%E -0.171%K -0.248%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.68%E -3.83%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-08 18:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 17:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.91%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-08 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-08 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.87%EV -13.45%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.11%EV -12.71%E -5.86%K -10.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-08-08 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-08 17:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.23%EV -10.07%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.20%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-08 17:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-08 17:22 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 0.6% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25% | 1.7% | 2026-08-08 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38% | 1.9% | 2026-08-08 18:10 |