Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Korona Kielce v Legia Warszawa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-08 18:15 UTC

Score final : Korona Kielce 1–1 Legia Warszawa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Korona Kielce (Local)

Prévision 30.69%3.26cote équitable
EV -0.555%
Avantage -0.171%
Kelly -0.248%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.31%30.80%30.67%33.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.632.922.953.2438.02%34.20%33.90%30.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Legia Warszawa (Visiteur)

Prévision 40.23%2.49cote équitable
EV +0.567%
Avantage +0.227%
Kelly +0.378%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.17%40.12%40.26%41.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.152.342.302.5046.51%42.82%43.48%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.08%3.44cote équitable
EV -4.04%
Avantage -1.22%
Kelly -1.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.84%29.09%29.07%30.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.143.163.3034.48%31.85%31.70%30.30%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Korona Kielce (Local) : 30.69% ; Legia Warszawa (Visiteur) : 40.23% ; Match nul : 29.08%. Pour Legia Warszawa (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.49. 8 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.50, soit une espérance positive de +0.567%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:04
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:04
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 18:04
Casumo🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:05
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:04
Svenska Spel🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:05
betPARX🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV +0.567%E +0.227%K +0.378%G +0.002%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-08 18:05
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.29%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.58%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 17:59
TABtouch🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -15.59%E -5.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -0.237%E -0.096%K -0.160%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-08 18:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -17.13%E -6.34%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.26%EV -2.25%E -0.925%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 18:05
Pinnacle🎯3.09I 32.36%NM 31.12%EV -5.16%E -1.67%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.74%EV -2.65%E -1.10%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.14%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-08 18:00
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -4.04%E -1.22%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 17:39
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.09%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 17:59
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.46%E -1.44%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 17:58
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-08 17:14
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:09
PMU (FR)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 33.38%EV -19.28%E -7.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.36%EV -5.47%E -2.33%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-08 18:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.22%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.09%EV -8.54%E -2.86%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.59%EV -5.87%E -2.51%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.32%EV -8.11%E -2.57%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 18:05
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.53%EV -6.27%E -2.69%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 18:04
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.29%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.89%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-08 17:35
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 17:14
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 18:04
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -11.60%E -4.03%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-08 17:39
SportsBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 17:59
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:10
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -12.53%E -4.39%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.41%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.78%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-08 17:40
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-08 18:04
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -7.48%E -3.25%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -15.67%E -5.40%K -8.25%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-08 18:00
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 17:34
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.39%E -2.09%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.65%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 17:34
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.18%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.66%EV -8.28%E -3.63%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.17%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-08 17:10
1xBet🎯3.24I 30.86%NM 29.31%EV -0.555%E -0.171%K -0.248%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.83%EV -8.68%E -3.83%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.86%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.85%E -1.57%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 17:49
Codere (IT)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 17:34
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 17:59
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.92%E -2.64%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.27%E -2.97%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-08 18:05
Coral🎯2.87I 34.84%NM 31.24%EV -11.91%E -4.15%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-08 17:15
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -14.06%E -5.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.72%EV -9.49%E -4.22%K -7.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.37%EV -8.40%E -2.67%K -3.91%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -11.50%E -5.23%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -5.49%E -1.69%K -2.44%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-08 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 30.87%EV -13.45%E -4.77%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 40.11%EV -12.71%E -5.86%K -10.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.02%EV -12.76%E -4.25%K -6.38%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-08 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.44%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.84%EV -6.94%E -2.17%K -3.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-08 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.09%EV -9.46%E -3.21%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.28%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-08 17:34
Betclic (FR)🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 30.23%EV -10.07%E -3.44%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.20%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.57%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 17:48
BoyleSports🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -10.99%E -3.79%K -5.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -13.51%E -6.28%K -11.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -9.85%E -3.18%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-08 17:22
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:10
Matchbook◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59%0.6%2026-08-08 18:05
Smarkets◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.73%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.02%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.25%1.7%2026-08-08 18:05
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.25%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.38%1.9%2026-08-08 18:10