赔率学院

Nantes v Marseille

开赛时间: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Nantes (主队)

预测 18.83%5.31公平赔率
EV +8.25%
优势 +1.44%
Kelly +1.74%
增长率 +0.143%

假设最高赔率为 5.75

博彩公司预测分布
16.75%18.62%18.84%20.01%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.505.205.235.7522.22%19.24%19.12%17.39%MIN均值中位数MAX

Marseille (客队)

预测 58.49%1.71公平赔率
EV -1.74%
优势 -1.03%
Kelly -2.55%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.68

博彩公司预测分布
56.29%58.80%58.36%62.29%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.76%63.69%59.52%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 22.68%4.41公平赔率
EV +2.07%
优势 +0.460%
Kelly +0.592%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.95%22.58%22.80%23.70%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
3.804.184.204.5026.32%23.90%23.81%22.22%MIN均值中位数MAX

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 00:20
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 00:25
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.74%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%2.9%2026-04-20 06:49
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%5.8%2026-04-19 19:30
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:25
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -13.43%E -9.08%K -27.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 20:40
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.66%E +0.308%K +0.378%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.85%E -8.62%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:35
1xBet5.23I 19.12%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.294%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.72%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-20 18:04
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -3.98%E -0.781%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.90%E -1.75%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 11:04
Pinnacle5.06I 19.76%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 18:09
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:55
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:10
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:06
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:05
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:00
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 17:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -12.26%E -8.18%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 20:40
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:10
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 17:59
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:05
Suprabets4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 20:10
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 07:39
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 07:15
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.09%E -7.30%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-20 08:30
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 18:00
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 18:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 19.97%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53%16.4%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 51.19%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.73%84.3%2026-04-20 18:05