Die Schule der Quoten

Nantes v Marseille

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

43 Wettanbieter (15 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nantes (Heim)

Prognose 18.83%5.31faire Quote
EV +8.25%
Vorteil +1.44%
Kelly +1.74%
Wachstum +0.143%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.75%18.62%18.84%20.01%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.205.235.7522.22%19.24%19.12%17.39%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Marseille (Auswärts)

Prognose 58.49%1.71faire Quote
EV -1.74%
Vorteil -1.03%
Kelly -2.55%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.68

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.29%58.80%58.36%62.29%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.76%63.69%59.52%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Unentschieden

Prognose 22.68%4.41faire Quote
EV +2.07%
Vorteil +0.460%
Kelly +0.592%
Wachstum +0.012%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
20.95%22.58%22.80%23.70%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.804.184.204.5026.32%23.90%23.81%22.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (43 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsUnentschiedenMargeAktualisiert
Unibet (NL)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Unibet (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:25
Svenska Spel5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
ATG (SE)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-21 00:24
Codere (IT)5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-20 00:20
Unibet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.98%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-21 00:25
PMU (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Grosvenor5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Casumo5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Bally Bet5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:25
betPARX5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 00:24
Coolbet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.74%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%2.9%2026-04-20 06:49
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012%5.8%2026-04-19 19:30
BetRivers5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-21 00:25
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -13.43%E -9.08%K -27.99%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 20:40
LeoVegas5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.66%E +0.308%K +0.378%G +0.006%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.85%E -8.62%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-21 00:25
LiveScore Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Virgin Bet5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-21 00:25
Sky Bet5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-19 19:35
1xBet5.23I 19.12%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.294%K -0.363%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.72%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000%1.4%2026-04-20 18:04
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -3.98%E -0.781%K -0.972%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.90%E -1.75%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-21 11:04
Pinnacle5.06I 19.76%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-20 18:09
betfred_uk5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-20 21:55
Fanatics5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:10
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-20 18:06
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:05
Tipico (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-20 18:00
DraftKings5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-20 17:59
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -12.26%E -8.18%K -24.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 20:40
William Hill4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-20 18:10
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 17:59
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:09
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-20 18:10
Unibet (UK)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 18:05
Suprabets4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 20:10
Betclic (FR)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-21 07:39
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-20 07:15
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.09%E -7.30%K -21.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-20 08:30
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-20 18:00
Unibet (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 18:05
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (4)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 19.97%1.52I 65.79%NM 56.50%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53%16.4%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95%81.7%2026-04-20 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 51.19%1.64I 60.98%NM 33.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 15.73%84.3%2026-04-20 18:05