A Escola das OddsPortuguês
Nantes v Marseille
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Nantes (Local)
Previsão 18.83%5.31odd justa
EV +8.25%
Vantagem +1.44%
Kelly +1.74%
Crescimento +0.143%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.75%18.62%18.84%20.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.505.205.235.7522.22%19.24%19.12%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Marseille (Visitante)
Previsão 58.49%1.71odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -2.55%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.29%58.80%58.36%62.29%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.471.571.571.6868.03%63.76%63.69%59.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Empate
Previsão 22.68%4.41odd justa
EV +2.07%
Vantagem +0.460%
Kelly +0.592%
Crescimento +0.012%
pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.95%22.58%22.80%23.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.804.184.204.5026.32%23.90%23.81%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| ATG (SE) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.75%EV +8.25%E +1.44%K +1.74%G +0.143% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.35%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.89%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Codere (IT) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.77%EV -8.17%E -5.20%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.19%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-20 00:20 |
| Unibet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.08%EV -9.34%E -6.03%K -16.98%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.02%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| TABtouch | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Grosvenor | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Casumo | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Bally Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| betPARX | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV +5.43%E +0.969%K +1.18%G +0.064% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.07%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-21 00:24 |
| Coolbet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.67%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.74%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012% | 2.9% | 2026-04-20 06:49 |
| SportsBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.07%E +0.460%K +0.592%G +0.012% | 5.8% | 2026-04-19 19:30 |
| BetRivers | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.04%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.98%EV -3.60%E -0.847%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| FanDuel | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV +3.55%E +0.645%K +0.788%G +0.028% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.29%EV -13.43%E -9.08%K -27.99%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| LeoVegas | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.83%EV +1.66%E +0.308%K +0.378%G +0.006% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.00%EV -12.85%E -8.62%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.95%EV -0.220%E -0.041%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.13%EV -14.02%E -9.54%K -29.83%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.92%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-21 00:25 |
| Sky Bet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -1.16%E -0.221%K -0.273%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -10.51%E -6.87%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-19 19:35 |
| 1xBet | 5.23I 19.12%NM 18.86%EV -1.54%E -0.294%K -0.363%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.72%EV -1.74%E -1.03%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.42%EV -0.197%E -0.045%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 1.4% | 2026-04-20 18:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.02%EV -3.98%E -0.781%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.43%EV -2.90%E -1.75%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.56%EV -2.47%E -0.573%K -0.747%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-21 11:04 |
| Pinnacle | 5.06I 19.76%NM 18.70%EV -4.74%E -0.936%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.40%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 22.91%EV -6.32%E -1.53%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-20 18:09 |
| betfred_uk | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-20 21:55 |
| Fanatics | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-20 18:06 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.47%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| DraftKings | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -5.87%E -1.17%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.74%EV -12.26%E -8.18%K -24.53%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.04%EV -1.78%E -0.412%K -0.536%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-19 20:40 |
| William Hill | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -5.24%E -3.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Betway | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 17:59 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:09 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -5.83%E -3.62%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-20 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.58%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Suprabets | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.55%EV -7.58%E -4.80%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.54%E -2.96%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 20:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.11%EV -10.57%E -2.23%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.19%EV -8.75%E -5.61%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -9.27%E -2.32%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-21 07:39 |
| Winamax (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.34%EV -11.52%E -2.45%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.02%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.64%EV -4.73%E -1.13%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-20 07:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -13.40%E -2.91%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.78%EV -11.09%E -7.30%K -21.33%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.79%EV -7.00%E -1.71%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-20 08:30 |
| BoyleSports | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.29%EV -6.41%E -4.01%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.70%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-20 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.58%EV -15.28%E -3.40%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.23%EV -9.92%E -6.44%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.19%EV -13.81%E -3.63%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (4)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.97% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 56.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.53% | 16.4% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95% | 81.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 50.49% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.56% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.95% | 81.7% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 51.19% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 33.08% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 15.73% | 84.3% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |